Bull Rankings model

Fabrinet (FN) stock analysis

Electronic Components. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
FN
Fabrinet · Electronic Components
65.7Score
$486.28Oct 9 close$17.4B
1Y Target$734.11Analyst consensus · 9 analysts
5Y Target$1,075Compound horizon
10Y Target$1,594Long-dated conviction
FCF$4mTTM · 06/26
C-
FCF $4m — barely positive; fragile cash position · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 06/26.
Rev+35.7%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +35.7% — hypergrowth, top decile · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E0.00
A
D/E 0.00 — least levered decile in Technology (≈10th pctile)
P/E37.3x
B
P/E 37.3 — near the Technology median (≈60th pctile)
PEG1.89est.
C+
PEG 1.89 — modest premium; above fair value · PEG derived: P/E ÷ analysts' expected EPS growth for next year, because this name has no vendor-supplied PEG. When earnings are expected to dip this year, the growth used is the yearly average over this year and next, so a recovery isn't counted as growth.

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 65.7
Quality68.3
Growth95.7
Value43.4
Why this score
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
35% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value23148% aboveest. fair value ~$2
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing over 60% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~20% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability14% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC14.9% · B+return on invested capital — leads the quality score

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Electronic Components · market cap $17.4b. Down 35% from 52-week high of $748.89 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +36% — in hypergrowth territory. 9 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $734.11 (implying +51% upside).
Moat
ROE 19% is above 15% — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Down 35% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Trailing P/E 37x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Horizon
1-3 yr $734.11 (9-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $1,075 at ~17% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $1,594 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.

FN vs the Top Picks average

PillarFNBook avgDiff
Quality6883-15
Growth9689+7
Value4376-33

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
+13.2 over 80 daily scores
From 52.5 (Jun 22) → 65.7 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

FN at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD65.7/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY68.3GROWTH95.7VALUE43.4Reverse-DCF · Price implies 60%+ growth a year from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$1.7–$2.8FAIR-VALUE RANGE$486PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$2.1 · price $486 is 23148% above it.
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+35%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100FN 65.7Top 17% of 1,709 companies on the quality-growth score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.0%
90-day change+0.3%
Forward EPS estimate$21.79

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect FN to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A fiscal-year roll fell inside this window: the forward horizon moved on to the next financial year, which shifts the earnings figure without any analyst changing their view. That step is excluded, so the number above covers the rest of the window rather than all of it.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
4
Position size
$1,945
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$364.71
25% below $486.28
$ at risk if stopped
$486.28
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Fabrinet (FN): score, valuation & FAQ

Fabrinet (FN) is an Electronic Components company that scores 65.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A) and D/E (A), while FCF (C-) rate weaker. On valuation, FN sits about 23148% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing over 60% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.

Is FN a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores FN 65.7 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A) and D/E (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Fabrinet's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does FN score 65.7 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on growth at 95.7 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 43.4 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. FN earns its highest marks on Rev (A) and D/E (A), and is held back by FCF (C-). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so FN is measured against Electronic Components peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is FN overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $486.28, FN sits about 23148% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing over 60% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 37.3x P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in FN?

Down 35% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Trailing P/E 37x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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