Bull Rankings model

Emera Incorporated (EMA) stock analysis

Utilities - Regulated Electric. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
EMA
Emera Incorporated · Utilities - Regulated Electric
57.1Score
$45.66Oct 9 close$14.0B
1Y Target$61.64Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$107.81Compound horizon
10Y Target$192.68Long-dated conviction
FCF-$816mTTM · 06/26
F
FCF is negative (-$816m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names · Trailing twelve months to 06/26 (operating cash flow − capex).
Rev+21.9%FY YoY
A-
Revenue +21.9% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%) · Computed from the last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E1.54
B
D/E 1.54 — near the Utilities debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/S*2.2x
B
P/S 2.2x — near the Utilities median (≈60th pctile)
PEG2.81
C
PEG 2.81 — expensive relative to growth rate

* P/S replaces P/E — no positive earnings to divide by

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 57.1
Quality45.5
Growth68.2
Value70.0
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
  • Foreign reporter (CAD)
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
18% off the 12-month high

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Utilities - Regulated Electric · market cap $14.0b. 18% off the 52-week high of $55.49. Revenue growing +22%, comfortably above the S&P median.
Moat
Higher-variance name — the moat signals on the quantitative card are modest, so the durability case rests on execution (turning current growth into durable earnings power) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than an entrenched competitive position.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$816m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Dividend payout 92% of earnings on a 4.6% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut. ROE 8% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $61.64 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $107.81 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $192.68 — return distribution heavily skewed.

EMA vs the Top Picks average

PillarEMABook avgDiff
Quality4583-38
Growth6889-21
Value7076-6

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
+15.1 over 82 daily scores
From 42.0 (Jun 22) → 57.1 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

EMA at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD57.1/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY45.5GROWTH68.2VALUE70.0
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$45.7LOW $45.3HIGH $55.5Trading near its 52-week low ($45.3–$55.5).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock-6%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100EMA 57.1Top 33% of 1,709 companies on the quality-growth score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-0.9%
90-day change-2.6%
Forward EPS estimate$2.59

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect EMA to earn is drifting lower (-2.6%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
43
Position size
$1,963
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$34.24
25% below $45.66
$ at risk if stopped
$490.84
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Emera Incorporated (EMA): score, valuation & FAQ

Emera Incorporated (EMA) is a Utilities - Regulated Electric company that scores 57.1 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A-), while FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is EMA a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores EMA 57.1 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Emera Incorporated's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does EMA score 57.1 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on value at 70.0 out of 100, with quality the weakest pillar at 45.5 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. EMA earns its highest marks on Rev (A-), and is held back by FCF (F). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so EMA is measured against Utilities - Regulated Electric peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is EMA overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for EMA — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in EMA?

Free cash flow is negative (-$816m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Dividend payout 92% of earnings on a 4.6% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut. ROE 8% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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