Delek US Holdings, Inc. — Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.
★
DK
Delek US Holdings, Inc. · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
FCF$478mC
Rev-9.5%D
D/E——
P/S0.3xA
PEG0.38A
46.1Score
$56.09$3.4B
1Y Target$53.25Analyst consensus · 12 analysts
5Y Target$93.13Compound horizon
10Y Target$236.19Long-dated conviction
FCF$478mTTMC
FCF $478m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev-9.5%TTM YoYD
Revenue -9.5% — meaningful contraction
D/E——
D/E data unavailable — neutral default
P/S0.3xA
P/S 0.3x — cheapest decile in Energy (≈10th pctile)
PEG0.38A
PEG 0.38 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 46.1
Quality0.43
Growth0.29
Value0.78
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
1% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value61% belowest. fair value ~$145
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-22% a year for the next decade — vs the ~-5% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability7% · Cgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC5.6% · C+return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · market cap $3.4b. Trading near 52-week high of $56.47 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. Revenue -10% — in contraction; any catalyst that reverses this triggers re-rating. PEG 0.38 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 12 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $53.25 (implying -5% upside).
Moat
Turnaround / out-of-favor name — GAAP-unprofitable for now, so the durability case is forward-looking: it rests on a recovery (margin normalization, a cyclical upturn or restructuring) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than on current reported results.
Risk
Revenue contracting -10% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Currently unprofitable (margin -0.5%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Trading within 1% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction.
Horizon
1-3 yr $53.25 (12-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $93.13 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $236.19 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Score history · DK
Trend
-1.5 over 15 daily scores
From 47.6 (Jun 22) → 46.1 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · DK
$
%
%
Shares to buy
35
Position size
$1,963
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$42.07
25% below $56.09
$ at risk if stopped
$490.79
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Delek US Holdings, Inc. (DK): score, valuation & FAQ
Delek US Holdings, Inc. (DK) is a Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing company that scores 46.1 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are P/S (A) and PEG (A), while Rev (D) rate weaker. On valuation, DK sits about 61% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -22% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is DK a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores DK 46.1 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by P/S (A) and PEG (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Delek US Holdings, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does DK score 46.1 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). DK earns its highest marks on P/S (A) and PEG (A), and is held back by Rev (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is DK overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $56.09, DK sits about 61% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -22% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in DK?
Revenue contracting -10% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Currently unprofitable (margin -0.5%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Trading within 1% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.