1Y Target$118.45Near-term target
5Y Target$165.88Compound horizon
10Y Target$243.84Long-dated conviction
FCF$7.1bTTM · 03/26B+FCF $7.1b — strong cash profile, above most peers · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+3.4%TTM YoYC+Revenue +3.4% — steady but below market-beating range · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E0.38totalB+D/E 0.38 — healthy leverage, well below danger zone · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/E15.9xB+P/E 15.9 — at or below S&P median, reasonable
PEG4.65proxyDPEG 4.65 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Media · market cap $178.9b. 17% off the 52-week high of $124.69.
Moat
ROE 10% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. $178.9b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
Beta 1.42 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $118.45 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $165.88 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $243.84 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
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