★
CSX
CSX Corp · Road & Rail
FCF$1.9bC+
Rev-0.9%D+
D/E1.43C+
P/E27.7xC+
PEG——
68Score
$45.521Y Target$52.35Near-term target
5Y Target$73.31Compound horizon
10Y Target$107.76Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.9bTTM · 03/26C+
FCF $1.9b — respectable but not differentiating · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev-0.9%TTM YoYD+
Revenue -0.9% — shrinking; needs a catalyst to reverse · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E1.43totalC+
D/E 1.43 — moderately levered, watch interest coverage · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/E27.7xC+
P/E 27.7 — elevated; requires sustained growth to justify
PEG—proxy—
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Road & Rail · market cap $84.6b. Trading near 52-week high of $46.73 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety.
Moat
Net margin 22% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 24% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. $84.6b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
Trading within 3% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction.
Horizon
1-3 yr $52.35 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $73.31 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $107.76 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Position sizing · CSX
Shares to buy
43
Position size
$1,957
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$34.14
25% below $45.52
$ at risk
$500.00
1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.