Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

BWLP analysis

BW LPG LimitedOil & Gas Midstream. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

BWLP
BW LPG Limited · Oil & Gas Midstream
FCF$385mC
Rev+0.5%C
D/E0.44B+
P/E8.0xA-
PEG15.52D
32Score
$19.06$2.9B
1Y Target$20.58Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$25.99Compound horizon
10Y Target$33.33Long-dated conviction
FCF$385mTTM
C
FCF $385m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+0.5%FY YoY
C
Revenue +0.5% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present · Computed from last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.44
B+
D/E 0.44 — below the Energy debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E8.0x
A-
P/E 8.0 — cheaper than most Energy peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG15.52proxy
D
PEG 15.52 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 32
Quality0.69
Growth0.19
Value0.25
Why this score
  • Cut its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
17% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value46% belowest. fair value ~$35
Quality signals · context only
ROIC9.9% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Oil & Gas Midstream · market cap $2.9b. 17% off the 52-week high of $22.92.
Moat
ROE 15% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. FCF converts 133% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.
Horizon
1-3 yr $20.58 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $25.99 at ~6% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $33.33 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Shares to buy
104
Position size
$1,982
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$14.29
25% below $19.06
$ at risk if stopped
$495.56
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

BW LPG Limited (BWLP): score, valuation & FAQ

BW LPG Limited (BWLP) is a Oil & Gas Midstream company that scores 32 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a weak reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-) and D/E (B+), while PEG (D) rate weaker. On valuation, BWLP sits about 46% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety).

Is BWLP a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores BWLP 32 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a weak reading. That is driven by P/E (A-) and D/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of BW LPG Limited's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does BWLP score 32 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). BWLP earns its highest marks on P/E (A-) and D/E (B+), and is held back by PEG (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is BWLP overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $19.06, BWLP sits about 46% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety). It trades at a 8.0x× P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in BWLP?

Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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