Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

BRBR analysis

BellRing Brands, Inc. — Packaged Foods. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
BRBR
BellRing Brands, Inc. · Packaged Foods
FCF$186mC
Rev+16.1%B+
D/E——
P/E10.0xA
PEG0.63A-
72Score
$12.95$1.5B
1Y Target$13.88Analyst consensus · 12 analysts
5Y Target$17.52Compound horizon
10Y Target$22.46Long-dated conviction
FCF$186mTTM
C
FCF $186m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+16.1%FY YoY
B+
Revenue +16.1% — above sector median, healthy trajectory · Computed from last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E—
—
D/E data unavailable — neutral default
P/E10.0x
A
P/E 10.0 — cheapest decile in Consumer Defensive (≈10th pctile)
PEG0.63proxy
A-
PEG 0.63 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 72
Quality0.61
Growth0.81
Value0.95
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
77% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value70% belowest. fair value ~$43
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-20% a year for the next decade — vs the ~8% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Why now
Premier Protein’s RTD protein shakes are the compounding engine of BRBR’s 16.1% revenue growth, and the market is pricing in just a 10x P/E for it — a 95/100 Value score from our model says this is a steal. The stock’s $186m FCF over the last year is being directed into buybacks, shrinking the share base into a growing earnings stream, and the 0.63 PEG ratio confirms the growth is cheap. The crux: can Premier Protein’s RTD dominance in club stores and mass channels sustain mid-teens growth without a margin reset?
Moat
Premier Protein’s RTD shakes command shelf space in club stores and mass retailers, where switching costs are high for consumers who rely on the brand’s 15g protein, low sugar, and convenience positioning. The Dymatize brand’s protein powders serve a different segment (online and specialty retailers) with a premium-priced, high-protein positioning that locks in gym-goers and athletes. Neither segment is easily replicable: RTD distribution requires deep relationships with warehouse clubs and mass chains, while Dymatize’s niche positioning shields it from private-label encroachment.
Risk
The bear case is that Premier Protein’s RTD protein shake growth slows as the category matures, and the 10x P/E fails to compress if revenue growth decelerates below 10%. The stock’s beta of 0.52 suggests it won’t outperform in a downturn, and the -31.8% ROE signals capital is being destroyed unless growth accelerates. The concrete signal to confirm the bear thesis: a sequential revenue deceleration below 12% YoY for two consecutive quarters.
Horizon
1-3 yr $13.88 (12-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $17.52 at ~6% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $22.46 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Score history · BRBR
Trend
0.0 over 12 daily scores
From 72.0 (Jun 22) → 72.0 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Position sizing · BRBR
Shares to buy
154
Position size
$1,994
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$9.71
25% below $12.95
$ at risk if stopped
$498.57
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Latest BRBR developments

Recent headlines from across the financial press · updated daily. Links open the source.

BellRing Brands, Inc. (BRBR): score, valuation & FAQ

BellRing Brands, Inc. (BRBR) is a Packaged Foods company that scores 72 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A), PEG (A-) and Rev (B+). On valuation, BRBR sits about 70% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -20% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is BRBR a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores BRBR 72 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by P/E (A), PEG (A-) and Rev (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of BellRing Brands, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does BRBR score 72 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). BRBR earns its highest marks on P/E (A), PEG (A-) and Rev (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is BRBR overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $12.95, BRBR sits about 70% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -20% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 10.0x× P/E (graded A). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in BRBR?

The bear case is that Premier Protein’s RTD protein shake growth slows as the category matures, and the 10x P/E fails to compress if revenue growth decelerates below 10%. The stock’s beta of 0.52 suggests it won’t outperform in a downturn, and the -31.8% ROE signals capital is being destroyed unless growth accelerates. The concrete signal to confirm the bear thesis: a sequential revenue deceleration below 12% YoY for two consecutive quarters.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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