Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

AZZ analysis

AZZ Inc.Specialty Business Services. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

AZZ
AZZ Inc. · Specialty Business Services
FCF$169mC
Rev+5.7%C+
D/E0.39B+
P/E21.5xB+
PEG1.20B+
64.7Score
$141.28$4.2B
1Y Target$164.00Analyst consensus · 9 analysts
5Y Target$240.11Compound horizon
10Y Target$356.19Long-dated conviction
FCF$169mTTM
C
FCF $169m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+5.7%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +5.7% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E0.39
B+
D/E 0.39 — below the Industrials debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E21.5x
B+
P/E 21.5 — below the Industrials median (≈40th pctile)
PEG1.20
B+
PEG 1.20 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 64.7
Quality69.3
Growth67.9
Value57.6
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
13% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value58% aboveest. fair value ~$89
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~19% a year for the next decade — vs the ~10% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability18% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC10.8% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Specialty Business Services · market cap $4.2b. 13% off the 52-week high of $162.20. 9 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $164.00 (implying +16% upside).
Moat
ROE 14% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
Horizon
1-3 yr $164.00 (9-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $240.11 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $356.19 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

AZZ vs the Top Picks average

PillarAZZBook avgDiff
Quality0.690.84-0.14
Growth0.680.87-0.19
Value0.580.76-0.18

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+0.4 over 48 daily scores
From 64.3 (Jun 22) → 64.7 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.2%
90-day change+2.3%
Forward EPS estimate$7.81

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect AZZ to earn is drifting higher (+2.3%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
14
Position size
$1,978
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$105.96
25% below $141.28
$ at risk if stopped
$494.48
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

AZZ Inc. (AZZ): score, valuation & FAQ

AZZ Inc. (AZZ) is a Specialty Business Services company that scores 64.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (B+), P/E (B+) and PEG (B+). On valuation, AZZ sits about 58% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 19% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is AZZ a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores AZZ 64.7 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by D/E (B+), P/E (B+) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of AZZ Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does AZZ score 64.7 on Bull Rankings?

The score is carried by quality at 69.3 out of 100, and held back by value at 57.6 — the three pillars combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. AZZ earns its highest marks on D/E (B+), P/E (B+) and PEG (B+). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so AZZ is measured against Specialty Business Services peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is AZZ overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $141.28, AZZ sits about 58% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 19% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 21.5x P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in AZZ?

Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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