Bull Rankings model

Avnet, Inc. (AVT) stock analysis

Electronics & Computer Distribution. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
AVT
Avnet, Inc. · Electronics & Computer Distribution
57.0Score
$99.36Oct 9 close$8.2B
1Y Target$106.25Analyst consensus · 4 analysts
5Y Target$185.83Compound horizon
10Y Target$332.12Long-dated conviction
FCF-$354mTTM · 06/26
F
FCF is negative (-$354m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 06/26.
Rev+24.5%TTM YoY
A-
Revenue +24.5% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%) · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E0.69
C+
D/E 0.69 — above the Technology debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/S*0.3x
A
P/S 0.3x — cheapest decile in Technology (≈10th pctile)
PEG2.65
C
PEG 2.65 — expensive relative to growth rate

* P/S replaces P/E — no positive earnings to divide by

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 57
Quality49.2
Growth84.5
Value44.5
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
9% off the 12-month high
Quality signals
Gross profitability19% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC7.0% · C+return on invested capital — leads the quality score

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Electronics & Computer Distribution · market cap $8.2b. 9% off the 52-week high of $108.63. Revenue growing +24%, comfortably above the S&P median. 4 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $106.25 (implying +7% upside).
Moat
Higher-variance name — the moat signals on the quantitative card are modest, so the durability case rests on execution (turning current growth into durable earnings power) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than an entrenched competitive position.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$354m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Net margin 1.2% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE 7% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $106.25 (4-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $185.83 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $332.12 — return distribution heavily skewed.

AVT vs the Top Picks average

PillarAVTBook avgDiff
Quality4983-34
Growth8489-5
Value4576-31

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
+28.3 over 82 daily scores
From 28.7 (Jun 22) → 57.0 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

AVT at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD57.0/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY49.2GROWTH84.5VALUE44.5
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+101%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$99.4LOW $44.3HIGH $109Trading near its 52-week high ($44.3–$109).
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100AVT 57.0Top 33% of 1,709 companies on the quality-growth score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.0%
90-day change-3.1%
Forward EPS estimate$11.05

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect AVT to earn is drifting lower (-3.1%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A fiscal-year roll fell inside this window: the forward horizon moved on to the next financial year, which shifts the earnings figure without any analyst changing their view. That step is excluded, so the number above covers the rest of the window rather than all of it.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
20
Position size
$1,987
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$74.52
25% below $99.36
$ at risk if stopped
$496.80
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Avnet, Inc. (AVT): score, valuation & FAQ

Avnet, Inc. (AVT) is an Electronics & Computer Distribution company that scores 57 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/S (A) and Rev (A-), while FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is AVT a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores AVT 57 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/S (A) and Rev (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Avnet, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does AVT score 57 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on growth at 84.5 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 44.5 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. AVT earns its highest marks on P/S (A) and Rev (A-), and is held back by FCF (F). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so AVT is measured against Electronics & Computer Distribution peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is AVT overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for AVT — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in AVT?

Free cash flow is negative (-$354m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Net margin 1.2% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE 7% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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