Astronics Corporation — Aerospace & Defense. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.
★
ATRO
Astronics Corporation · Aerospace & Defense
FCF$24mC-
Rev+8.4%B
D/E2.34D
P/E68.9xD
PEG1.45B
49.3Score
$70.28$3.5B
1Y Target$76.15Analyst consensus · 5 analysts
5Y Target$111.49Compound horizon
10Y Target$165.38Long-dated conviction
FCF$24mTTMC-
FCF $24m — barely positive; fragile cash position
Rev+8.4%TTM YoYB
Revenue +8.4% — at or above S&P median
D/E2.34D
D/E 2.34 — most levered decile in Industrials (≈95th pctile)
P/E68.9xD
P/E 68.9 — most expensive decile in Industrials (≈95th pctile)
PEG1.45B
PEG 1.45 — acceptable premium for growth
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 49.3
Quality0.57
Growth0.68
Value0.31
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
21% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value729% aboveest. fair value ~$8
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding above 60% a year for the next decade — vs the ~15% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability36% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC14.4% · B+return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Aerospace & Defense · market cap $3.5b. Down 21% from 52-week high of $88.72 — deep drawdown territory. 5 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $76.15 (implying +8% upside).
Moat
ROE 28% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
D/E 2.34 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Trailing P/E 68.9x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating.
Horizon
1-3 yr $76.15 (5-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $111.49 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $165.38 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Score history · ATRO
Trend
-0.2 over 15 daily scores
From 49.5 (Jun 22) → 49.3 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · ATRO
$
%
%
Shares to buy
28
Position size
$1,968
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$52.71
25% below $70.28
$ at risk if stopped
$491.96
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Astronics Corporation (ATRO) is a Aerospace & Defense company that scores 49.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
The model flags D/E (D) and P/E (D) as weaker areas. On valuation, ATRO sits about 729% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free-cash-flow growth above 60% a year for the next decade.
Is ATRO a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores ATRO 49.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. A score is a quantitative screen of Astronics Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does ATRO score 49.3 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). ATRO grades middle-of-pack across the strip, and is held back by D/E (D) and P/E (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is ATRO overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $70.28, ATRO sits about 729% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free-cash-flow growth above 60% a year for the next decade. It trades at a 68.9x× P/E (graded D). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in ATRO?
D/E 2.34 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Trailing P/E 68.9x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.