Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

ASTS analysis

AST SpaceMobile Inc — Telecommunication. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

★
ASTS
AST SpaceMobile Inc · Telecommunication
FCF-$1.3bF
Rev+1732.1%A
D/E0.93B
P/S483.7xD
PEG——
58Score
$105.86
1Y Target$142.91Near-term target
5Y Target$212.92Compound horizon
10Y Target$554.05Long-dated conviction
FCF-$1.3bTTM · 03/26
F
FCF is negative (-$1.3b) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+1732.1%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +1732.1% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E0.93total
B
D/E 0.93 — at market average, manageable · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/S483.7x
D
P/S 483.7x — extreme, prices in flawless execution
PEG—proxy
—
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Telecommunication · market cap $41.1b. 19% off the 52-week high of $129.89. Revenue growing +1732% — in hypergrowth territory.
Moat
Speculative bucket — the moat thesis is forward-looking; without proven margin structure or capital efficiency yet, the durability argument is about IP / network effects / first-mover position that the company hasn't fully monetized.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$1.3b) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Currently unprofitable (margin -573.7%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Beta 2.67 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $142.91 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $212.92 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $554.05 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Position sizing · ASTS
Shares to buy
18
Position size
$1,905
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$79.39
25% below $105.86
$ at risk
$500.00
1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

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