APA Corporation — Oil & Gas E&P. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.
★
APA
APA Corporation · Oil & Gas E&P
FCF$1.5bC+
Rev-8.4%D
D/E0.61B
P/E8.2xA-
PEG0.54A-
51.7Score
$33.29$11.8B
1Y Target$43.04Analyst consensus · 24 analysts
5Y Target$54.34Compound horizon
10Y Target$69.69Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.5bTTM · 03/26C+
FCF $1.5b — respectable but not differentiating · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev-8.4%FY YoYD
Revenue -8.4% — meaningful contraction · Computed from last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.61B
D/E 0.61 — near the Energy debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E8.2xA-
P/E 8.2 — cheaper than most Energy peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG0.54A-
PEG 0.54 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 51.7
Quality0.83
Growth0.23
Value0.74
Why this score
Buying back stock
Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
27% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value35% belowest. fair value ~$51
Quality signals · context only
ROIC16.9% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Oil & Gas E&P · market cap $11.8b. Down 27% from 52-week high of $45.66 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue -8% — in contraction; any catalyst that reverses this triggers re-rating. PEG 0.54 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 24 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $43.04 (implying +29% upside).
Moat
Net margin 18% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 24% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. FCF converts 97% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Revenue contracting -8% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.
Horizon
1-3 yr $43.04 (24-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $54.34 at ~10% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $69.69 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Position sizing · APA
$
%
%
Shares to buy
60
Position size
$1,997
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$24.97
25% below $33.29
$ at risk if stopped
$499.35
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
APA Corporation (APA): score, valuation & FAQ
APA Corporation (APA) is a Oil & Gas E&P company that scores 51.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-) and PEG (A-), while Rev (D) rate weaker. On valuation, APA sits about 35% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety).
Is APA a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores APA 51.7 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/E (A-) and PEG (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of APA Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does APA score 51.7 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). APA earns its highest marks on P/E (A-) and PEG (A-), and is held back by Rev (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is APA overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $33.29, APA sits about 35% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety). It trades at a 8.2x× P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in APA?
Revenue contracting -8% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.