Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

AMPX analysis

Amprius Technologies IncElectrical Equipment. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

AMPX
Amprius Technologies Inc · Electrical Equipment
FCF-$59mF
Rev+172.6%A
D/E0.38B+
P/S15.9xC
PEG
23.6Score
$10.16$1.4B
1Y Target$13.72Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$23.99Compound horizon
10Y Target$60.84Long-dated conviction
FCF-$59mTTM · 03/26
F
FCF is negative (-$59m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+172.6%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +172.6% — hypergrowth, top decile · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E0.38total
B+
D/E 0.38 — healthy leverage, well below danger zone · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/S15.9x
C
P/S 15.9x — elevated; requires growth to justify
PEGproxy
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 23.6
Quality0.13
Growth1.00
Value0.10
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
58% off the 12-month high
Why now
Electrical Equipment · market cap $1.4b. Down 58% from 52-week high of $24.23 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +173% — in hypergrowth territory.
Moat
Turnaround / out-of-favor name — GAAP-unprofitable for now, so the durability case is forward-looking: it rests on a recovery (margin normalization, a cyclical upturn or restructuring) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than on current reported results.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$59m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Currently unprofitable (margin -44.0%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 58% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $13.72 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $23.99 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $60.84 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Trend
-1.8 over 20 daily scores
From 25.4 (Jun 22) → 23.6 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
196
Position size
$1,991
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$7.62
25% below $10.16
$ at risk if stopped
$497.84
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Amprius Technologies Inc (AMPX): score, valuation & FAQ

Amprius Technologies Inc (AMPX) is a Electrical Equipment company that scores 23.6 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a weak reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A) and D/E (B+), while FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is AMPX a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores AMPX 23.6 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a weak reading. That is driven by Rev (A) and D/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Amprius Technologies Inc's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does AMPX score 23.6 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). AMPX earns its highest marks on Rev (A) and D/E (B+), and is held back by FCF (F). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is AMPX overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for AMPX — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in AMPX?

Free cash flow is negative (-$59m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Currently unprofitable (margin -44.0%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 58% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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