COMPARE · Reviewed July 9, 2026

ALLE vs MWA

Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. ALLE scored 73.1, MWA scored 75.0 — MWA leads.
Compare another set
ALLE
Allegion plc
Security & Protection Services · Quality-Growth
73.1
$135.07 · $11.6B
Score gap
1.9
MWA leads
MWA
Mueller Water Products, Inc.
Specialty Industrial Machinery · Quality-Growth
75
$24.91 · $3.9B
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
ALLE
stronger →← stronger
MWA
82
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
74
77
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
76
62
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
75
ALLE is stronger on 2 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
ALLE
MWA
$683mC+
FCF
$141mC
+7.8%B
Rev
+8.7%B
1.06C+
D/E
0.42B+
18.5xA-
P/E
18.9xA-
2.15C
PEG
1.03B+
Winner per row is the stronger grade in our model; a tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
ALLE
MWA
10% below
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
78% above
+3%
1-yr DCF upside
-46%
+11%
5-yr DCF upside
-44%
+25%
10-yr DCF upside
-41%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
ALLE
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
MWA
No notable signals flagged.
The companies
ALLEAllegion plc
Security & Protection Services · $135.07 · beta 0.86
Why now
Security & Protection Services · market cap $11.6b. Down 26% from 52-week high of $183.11 — deep drawdown territory. 11 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $165.18 (implying +22% upside).
Moat
Net margin 15% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 30% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 108% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
MWAMueller Water Products, Inc.
Specialty Industrial Machinery · $24.91 · beta 1.03
Why now
Specialty Industrial Machinery · market cap $3.9b. 20% off the 52-week high of $31.00. 6 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $31.00 (implying +24% upside).
Moat
Net margin 14% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 19% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.