Astera Labs, Inc. — Semiconductors. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.
★
ALAB
Astera Labs, Inc. · Semiconductors
FCF$343mC
Rev+115.1%A
D/E0.03A-
P/E——
PEG——
51.7Score
$417.45$71.6B
1Y Target$272.47Analyst consensus · 22 analysts
5Y Target$398.92Compound horizon
10Y Target$591.77Long-dated conviction
FCF$343mTTMC
FCF $343m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+115.1%TTM YoYA
Revenue +115.1% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E0.03A-
D/E 0.03 — less debt than most Technology peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E——
P/E n/m — company in investment mode or loss-making; use P/S instead
PEG——
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 51.7
Quality0.71
Growth1.00
Value0.20
Why this score
Diluting shareholders
Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
16% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value789% aboveest. fair value ~$47
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability46% · A-gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC11.8% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Semiconductors · market cap $71.6b. 16% off the 52-week high of $499.48. Revenue growing +115% — in hypergrowth territory. 22 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $272.47 (implying -35% upside).
Moat
Net margin 27% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 18% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. FCF converts 128% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Beta 3.67 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. P/S 71.5x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard. Semiconductor cyclicality — inventory corrections compress margins faster than analysts model. Monitor channel inventory and book-to-bill ratios as leading indicators.
Horizon
1-3 yr $272.47 (22-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $398.92 at ~-1% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $591.77 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Position sizing · ALAB
$
%
%
Shares to buy
4
Position size
$1,670
3.3% of portfolio
Stop price
$313.09
25% below $417.45
$ at risk if stopped
$417.45
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB): score, valuation & FAQ
Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB) is a Semiconductors company that scores 51.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A) and D/E (A-). On valuation, ALAB sits about 789% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich).
Is ALAB a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores ALAB 51.7 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A) and D/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Astera Labs, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does ALAB score 51.7 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). ALAB earns its highest marks on Rev (A) and D/E (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is ALAB overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $417.45, ALAB sits about 789% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich). It trades at a n/m× P/E (graded C). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in ALAB?
Beta 3.67 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. P/S 71.5x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard. Semiconductor cyclicality — inventory corrections compress margins faster than analysts model. Monitor channel inventory and book-to-bill ratios as leading indicators.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.