Bull Rankings model

American Healthcare REIT, Inc. (AHR) stock analysis

REIT - Healthcare Facilities. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
AHR
American Healthcare REIT, Inc. · REIT - Healthcare Facilities
45.4REIT strength
$52.53Oct 13 close$11.5B
1Y Target$64.27Analyst consensus · 15 analysts
5Y Target$94.09Compound horizon
10Y Target$139.58Long-dated conviction
Yield2.0%
C+
Yield 2.0% — small income component · REITs are valued on FFO / AFFO, which our data source doesn't provide — we grade income, growth, and sector-relative leverage instead.
Rev+9.1%
B
Revenue +9.1% — at or above S&P median
D/E0.42
A
D/E 0.42 — least levered decile in Real Estate (≈10th pctile)

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Financial strength · 45.4 / 100
Profitability46.3
Value (P/B)36.6
Income54.6

A peer-relative read for reits on profitability (ROE, depreciation-adjusted), valuation, and covered income — the quality-growth (FCF/ROIC) screen doesn't apply to balance-sheet businesses. Not comparable to the 0–100 quality-growth score shown on other stocks.

Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
11% off the 12-month high

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
REIT - Healthcare Facilities · market cap $11.5b. 11% off the 52-week high of $58.70. 15 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $64.27 (implying +22% upside).
Moat
Moat signals from the quantitative card are modest — profitability and capital efficiency are middle-of-pack. The thesis here depends on softer factors (switching costs, brand, distribution, regulatory protection) not captured by the quality-growth screen.
Risk
Net margin 4.8% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE 4% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $64.27 (15-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $94.09 at ~12% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $139.58 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.

Not enough history yet — the model records AHR's score after each daily run, and the chart appears once a few days have accumulated.

AHR at a glance

FINANCIAL STRENGTH · REITPROFITABILITY46VALUE37COVERED INCOME5545.4/100 on our peer scale — not the quality-growth score.
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+23%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$52.5LOW $41.4HIGH $58.7Trading at the 64th percentile of its 52-week range ($41.4–$58.7).

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.0%
90-day change+15.1%
Forward EPS estimate$0.99

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect AHR to earn is materially higher (+15.1%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
38
Position size
$1,996
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$39.40
25% below $52.53
$ at risk if stopped
$499.04
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

American Healthcare REIT, Inc. (AHR): score, valuation & FAQ

American Healthcare REIT, Inc. (AHR) is a REIT - Healthcare Facilities company. As a bank, insurer or REIT it runs on a different financial model from the rest of the market, so Bull Rankings grades it on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and cash-flow coverage — rather than the 0–100 quality-growth score used elsewhere. The read below is a transparent screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A).

Is AHR a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings grades AHR on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout and cash-flow coverage — rather than a single quality-growth score. That is driven by D/E (A). A score is a quantitative screen of American Healthcare REIT, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

How does Bull Rankings grade AHR?

As a bank, insurer or REIT, AHR isn't given a quality-growth score — signals like free cash flow, debt-to-equity and P/E don't translate cleanly to a balance-sheet business. Instead it's graded on a sector-appropriate card: price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and operating-cash-flow coverage, where it rates strongest on D/E (A).

Is AHR overvalued or undervalued?

We don't publish a discounted-cash-flow value for AHR, and not because the business is unprofitable. For a lender, insurer or property trust, "free cash flow" measures balance-sheet growth rather than owner earnings — loan originations and repayments run through operating cash flow — so discounting it would produce a confident-looking number with nothing behind it. AHR is judged on book value, return on equity and income cover instead, which is what the financial-strength card shows.

What are the main risks of investing in AHR?

Net margin 4.8% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE 4% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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