Bull Rankings model

CareTrust REIT, Inc. (CTRE) stock analysis

REIT - Healthcare Facilities. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
CTRE
CareTrust REIT, Inc. · REIT - Healthcare Facilities
72.1REIT strength
$36.56Oct 13 close$8.6B
1Y Target$44.62Analyst consensus · 13 analysts
5Y Target$65.32Compound horizon
10Y Target$96.90Long-dated conviction
Yield4.3%
B+
Yield 4.3% — healthy income · REITs are valued on FFO / AFFO, which our data source doesn't provide — we grade income, growth, and sector-relative leverage instead.
Rev+61.8%
A
Revenue +61.8% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E0.27
A
D/E 0.27 — least levered decile in Real Estate (≈10th pctile)

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Financial strength · 72.1 / 100
Profitability78.3
Value (P/B)58.4
Income83.3

A peer-relative read for reits on profitability (ROE, depreciation-adjusted), valuation, and covered income — the quality-growth (FCF/ROIC) screen doesn't apply to balance-sheet businesses. Not comparable to the 0–100 quality-growth score shown on other stocks.

Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
16% off the 12-month high

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
REIT - Healthcare Facilities · market cap $8.6b. 16% off the 52-week high of $43.62. Revenue growing +62% — in hypergrowth territory. 13 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $44.62 (implying +22% upside).
Moat
Net margin 62% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma.
Risk
Dividend payout 91% of earnings on a 4.3% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut. P/S 15.1x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.
Horizon
1-3 yr $44.62 (13-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $65.32 at ~12% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $96.90 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.

Not enough history yet — the model records CTRE's score after each daily run, and the chart appears once a few days have accumulated.

CTRE at a glance

FINANCIAL STRENGTH · REITPROFITABILITY78VALUE58COVERED INCOME8372.1/100 on our peer scale — not the quality-growth score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$36.6LOW $32.8HIGH $43.6Trading at the 35th percentile of its 52-week range ($32.8–$43.6).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+10%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-0.1%
90-day change+1.2%
Forward EPS estimate$1.76

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect CTRE to earn is drifting higher (+1.2%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
54
Position size
$1,974
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$27.42
25% below $36.56
$ at risk if stopped
$493.56
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

CareTrust REIT, Inc. (CTRE): score, valuation & FAQ

CareTrust REIT, Inc. (CTRE) is a REIT - Healthcare Facilities company. As a bank, insurer or REIT it runs on a different financial model from the rest of the market, so Bull Rankings grades it on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and cash-flow coverage — rather than the 0–100 quality-growth score used elsewhere. The read below is a transparent screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), D/E (A) and Yield (B+).

Is CTRE a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings grades CTRE on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout and cash-flow coverage — rather than a single quality-growth score. That is driven by Rev (A), D/E (A) and Yield (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of CareTrust REIT, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

How does Bull Rankings grade CTRE?

As a bank, insurer or REIT, CTRE isn't given a quality-growth score — signals like free cash flow, debt-to-equity and P/E don't translate cleanly to a balance-sheet business. Instead it's graded on a sector-appropriate card: price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and operating-cash-flow coverage, where it rates strongest on Rev (A), D/E (A) and Yield (B+).

Is CTRE overvalued or undervalued?

We don't publish a discounted-cash-flow value for CTRE, and not because the business is unprofitable. For a lender, insurer or property trust, "free cash flow" measures balance-sheet growth rather than owner earnings — loan originations and repayments run through operating cash flow — so discounting it would produce a confident-looking number with nothing behind it. CTRE is judged on book value, return on equity and income cover instead, which is what the financial-strength card shows.

What are the main risks of investing in CTRE?

Dividend payout 91% of earnings on a 4.3% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut. P/S 15.1x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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