Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

NHI analysis

National Health Investors, Inc.REIT - Healthcare Facilities. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

NHI
National Health Investors, Inc. · REIT - Healthcare Facilities
Yield4.8%B+
Rev+12.1%B+
D/E0.98B
69.2REIT strength
$75.84$3.7B
1Y Target$82.88Analyst consensus · 8 analysts
5Y Target$121.34Compound horizon
10Y Target$180.00Long-dated conviction
Yield4.8%
B+
Yield 4.8% — healthy income · REITs are valued on FFO / AFFO, which our data source doesn't provide — we grade income, growth, and sector-relative leverage instead.
Rev+12.1%
B+
Revenue +12.1% — above sector median, healthy trajectory
D/E0.98
B
D/E 0.98 — near the Real Estate debt median (≈60th pctile)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Financial strength · 69.2 / 100
Profitability0.83
Value (P/B)0.44
Income0.88

A peer-relative read for reits on profitability (ROE, depreciation-adjusted), valuation, and covered income — the quality-growth (FCF/ROIC) screen doesn't apply to balance-sheet businesses. Not comparable to the 0–100 quality-growth score shown on other stocks.

Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
17% off the 12-month high
Why now
REIT - Healthcare Facilities · market cap $3.7b. 17% off the 52-week high of $91.38. Revenue growing +12%, comfortably above the S&P median. 8 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $82.88 (implying +9% upside).
Moat
Net margin 37% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma.
Risk
Dividend payout 118% of earnings on a 4.8% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut.
Horizon
1-3 yr $82.88 (8-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $121.34 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $180.00 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

Not enough history yet — the model records NHI's score after each daily run, and the chart appears once a few days have accumulated.

Shares to buy
26
Position size
$1,972
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$56.88
25% below $75.84
$ at risk if stopped
$492.96
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

National Health Investors, Inc. (NHI): score, valuation & FAQ

National Health Investors, Inc. (NHI) is a REIT - Healthcare Facilities company. As a bank, insurer or REIT it runs on a different financial model from the rest of the market, so Bull Rankings grades it on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and cash-flow coverage — rather than the 0–100 quality-growth score used elsewhere. The read below is a transparent screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Yield (B+) and Rev (B+).

Is NHI a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings grades NHI on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout and cash-flow coverage — rather than a single quality-growth score. That is driven by Yield (B+) and Rev (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of National Health Investors, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

How does Bull Rankings grade NHI?

As a bank, insurer or REIT, NHI isn't given a quality-growth score — signals like free cash flow, debt-to-equity and P/E don't translate cleanly to a balance-sheet business. Instead it's graded on a sector-appropriate card: price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and operating-cash-flow coverage, where it rates strongest on Yield (B+) and Rev (B+).

Is NHI overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for NHI — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in NHI?

Dividend payout 118% of earnings on a 4.8% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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