Argan, Inc. — Engineering & Construction. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.
★
AGX
Argan, Inc. · Engineering & Construction
FCF$487mC
Rev+8.1%B
D/E0.02A
P/E63.7xD
PEG7.50D
45.8Score
$666.77$9.3B
1Y Target$679.80Analyst consensus · 5 analysts
5Y Target$995.30Compound horizon
10Y Target$1,476Long-dated conviction
FCF$487mTTMC
FCF $487m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+8.1%TTM YoYB
Revenue +8.1% — at or above S&P median
D/E0.02A
D/E 0.02 — least levered decile in Industrials (≈10th pctile)
P/E63.7xD
P/E 63.7 — most expensive decile in Industrials (≈95th pctile)
PEG7.50proxyD
PEG 7.50 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 45.8
Quality0.89
Growth0.83
Value0.13
Why this score
Durable high returns
Diluting shareholders
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
17% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value47% belowest. fair value ~$1252
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-1% a year for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability17% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC26.0% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Engineering & Construction · market cap $9.3b. 17% off the 52-week high of $805.75. 5 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $679.80 (implying +2% upside).
Moat
Net margin 15% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 34% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
Trailing P/E 63.7x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating.
Horizon
1-3 yr $679.80 (5-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $995.30 at ~8% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $1,476 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Score history · AGX
Trend
-3.3 over 15 daily scores
From 49.1 (Jun 22) → 45.8 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · AGX
$
%
%
Shares to buy
2
Position size
$1,334
2.7% of portfolio
Stop price
$500.08
25% below $666.77
$ at risk if stopped
$333.39
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Argan, Inc. (AGX): score, valuation & FAQ
Argan, Inc. (AGX) is a Engineering & Construction company that scores 45.8 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A), while P/E (D) and PEG (D) rate weaker. On valuation, AGX sits about 47% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -1% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is AGX a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores AGX 45.8 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by D/E (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Argan, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does AGX score 45.8 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). AGX earns its highest marks on D/E (A), and is held back by P/E (D) and PEG (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is AGX overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $666.77, AGX sits about 47% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -1% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 63.7x× P/E (graded D). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in AGX?
Trailing P/E 63.7x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.