Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

XPRO analysis

Expro LtdOil & Gas Equipment & Services. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

XPRO
Expro Ltd · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
FCF$89mC-
Rev-6.2%D
D/E0.11A
P/E50.8xC
PEG0.74A-
38.2Score
$15.75$1.8B
1Y Target$16.75Analyst consensus · 4 analysts
5Y Target$24.52Compound horizon
10Y Target$36.38Long-dated conviction
FCF$89mTTM · 03/26
C-
FCF $89m — barely positive; fragile cash position · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev-6.2%FY YoY
D
Revenue -6.2% — meaningful contraction · Computed from last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.11
A
D/E 0.11 — least levered decile in Energy (≈10th pctile)
P/E50.8x
C
P/E 50.8 — expensive vs Energy peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG0.74
A-
PEG 0.74 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 38.2
Quality0.53
Growth0.15
Value0.71
Why this score
  • Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
16% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value6% belowest. fair value ~$17
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~10% a year for the next decade — vs the ~20% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Why now
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · market cap $1.8b. 16% off the 52-week high of $18.73. Revenue -6% — in contraction; any catalyst that reverses this triggers re-rating. PEG 0.74 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 4 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $16.75 (implying +6% upside).
Moat
Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
Trailing P/E 50.8x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Revenue contracting -6% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Net margin 2.3% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Horizon
1-3 yr $16.75 (4-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $24.52 at ~9% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $36.38 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Trend
-12.8 over 25 daily scores
From 51.0 (Jun 22) → 38.2 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
126
Position size
$1,985
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$11.81
25% below $15.75
$ at risk if stopped
$496.13
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Expro Ltd (XPRO): score, valuation & FAQ

Expro Ltd (XPRO) is a Oil & Gas Equipment & Services company that scores 38.2 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A) and PEG (A-), while FCF (C-) and Rev (D) rate weaker. On valuation, XPRO sits about 6% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 10% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is XPRO a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores XPRO 38.2 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by D/E (A) and PEG (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Expro Ltd's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does XPRO score 38.2 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). XPRO earns its highest marks on D/E (A) and PEG (A-), and is held back by FCF (C-) and Rev (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is XPRO overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $15.75, XPRO sits about 6% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 10% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 50.8x× P/E (graded C). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in XPRO?

Trailing P/E 50.8x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Revenue contracting -6% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Net margin 2.3% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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