1Y Target$84.78Near-term target
5Y Target$105.05Compound horizon
10Y Target$134.09Long-dated conviction
FCF$174mTTM · 03/26CFCF $174m — modest; watch for margin expansion · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+3.0%TTM YoYC+Revenue +3.0% — steady but below market-beating range · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E0.07totalAD/E 0.07 — essentially debt-free, pristine balance sheet · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/E13.7xB+P/E 13.7 — at or below S&P median, reasonable
PEG4.53proxyDPEG 4.53 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Diversified Consumer Services · market cap $1.8b. 16% off the 52-week high of $93.45.
Moat
Moat signals from the quantitative card are modest — profitability and capital efficiency are middle-of-pack. The thesis here depends on softer factors (switching costs, brand, distribution, regulatory protection) not captured by the 7-grade screen.
Risk
ROE 8% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $84.78 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $105.05 at ~6% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $134.09 if the moat survives secular pressure.
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