Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

SMR analysis

NuScale Power CorporationSpecialty Industrial Machinery. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

Nuclear & Uranium
SMR
NuScale Power Corporation · Specialty Industrial Machinery
FCF-$752mF
Rev-15.0%F
D/E0.01A
P/S
PEG
11.4Score
$9.56$3.3B
1Y Target$14.57Analyst consensus · 15 analysts
5Y Target$25.48Compound horizon
10Y Target$45.53Long-dated conviction
FCF-$752mTTM
F
FCF is negative (-$752m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names
Rev-15.0%FY YoY
F
Revenue -15.0% — severe decline · Computed from last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.01
A
D/E 0.01 — least levered decile in Industrials (≈10th pctile)
P/S
P/S unavailable
PEG
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 11.4
Quality0.20
Growth0.15
Value0.00
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
83% off the 12-month high
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability0% · Cgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC-48.2% · Freturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Specialty Industrial Machinery · market cap $3.3b. Down 83% from 52-week high of $57.42 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue -15% — in contraction; any catalyst that reverses this triggers re-rating. 15 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $14.57 (implying +52% upside).
Moat
Higher-variance name — the moat signals on the quantitative card are modest, so the durability case rests on execution (turning current growth into durable earnings power) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than an entrenched competitive position.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$752m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Revenue contracting -15% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Down 83% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $14.57 (15-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $25.48 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $45.53 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

SMR vs the Top Picks average

PillarSMRBook avgDiff
Quality0.200.83-0.62
Growth0.150.91-0.76
Value0.000.75-0.75

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-0.6 over 34 daily scores
From 12.0 (Jun 22) → 11.4 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
209
Position size
$1,998
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$7.17
25% below $9.56
$ at risk if stopped
$499.51
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

NuScale Power Corporation (SMR): score, valuation & FAQ

NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) is a Specialty Industrial Machinery company that scores 11.4 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a weak reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A), while FCF (F) and Rev (F) rate weaker.

Is SMR a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores SMR 11.4 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a weak reading. That is driven by D/E (A). A score is a quantitative screen of NuScale Power Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does SMR score 11.4 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). SMR earns its highest marks on D/E (A), and is held back by FCF (F) and Rev (F). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is SMR overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for SMR — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in SMR?

Free cash flow is negative (-$752m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Revenue contracting -15% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Down 83% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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