Bull Rankings model

Banco Santander, S.A. (SAN) stock analysis

Banks - Diversified. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
SAN
Banco Santander, S.A. · Banks - Diversified
63.0Financial strength
$13.55Oct 13 close$195.9B
1Y Target$14.79Analyst consensus · 3 analysts
5Y Target$18.68Compound horizon
10Y Target$23.95Long-dated conviction
Rev-0.5%
D+
Revenue -0.5% — shrinking; needs a catalyst to reverse
P/E13.2x
B
P/E 13.2 — near the Financial Services median (≈60th pctile)
ROE13.1%
B
ROE 13.1% — acceptable capital return
P/B1.58
B
P/B 1.58 — fair; a premium the market pays for returns
Yield2.1%
B
Yield 2.1% — modest income

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Financial strength · 63.0 / 100
Profitability67.4
Value (P/B)62.4
Income55.8

A peer-relative read for financials on profitability (ROE), valuation, and covered income — the quality-growth (FCF/ROIC) screen doesn't apply to balance-sheet businesses. Not comparable to the 0–100 quality-growth score shown on other stocks.

Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
10% off the 12-month high

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Banks - Diversified · market cap $195.9b. 10% off the 52-week high of $15.05. PEG 0.90 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 3 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $14.79 (implying +9% upside).
Moat
Net margin 33% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 13% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. $195.9b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
Balance-sheet financial — book value, net interest margin, and credit loss provisions are the lever points; a rates regime change or a deterioration in the loan book moves the stock more than EPS does.
Horizon
1-3 yr $14.79 (3-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $18.68 at ~7% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $23.95 if the moat survives secular pressure.

Not enough history yet — the model records SAN's score after each daily run, and the chart appears once a few days have accumulated.

SAN at a glance

FINANCIAL STRENGTH · BANKPROFITABILITY67VALUE62COVERED INCOME5663/100 on our peer scale — not the quality-growth score.
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+34%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$13.6LOW $9.6HIGH $15.1Trading at the 72nd percentile of its 52-week range ($9.6–$15.1).

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.0%
90-day change-1.1%
Forward EPS estimate$1.43

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect SAN to earn is drifting lower (-1.1%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A fiscal-year roll fell inside this window: the forward horizon moved on to the next financial year, which shifts the earnings figure without any analyst changing their view. That step is excluded, so the number above covers the rest of the window rather than all of it.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
147
Position size
$1,992
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$10.16
25% below $13.55
$ at risk if stopped
$497.96
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Banco Santander, S.A. (SAN): score, valuation & FAQ

Banco Santander, S.A. (SAN) is a Banks - Diversified company. As a bank, insurer or REIT it runs on a different financial model from the rest of the market, so Bull Rankings grades it on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and cash-flow coverage — rather than the 0–100 quality-growth score used elsewhere. The read below is a transparent screen, not a buy recommendation.

The model flags Rev (D+) as weaker areas.

Is SAN a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings grades SAN on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout and cash-flow coverage — rather than a single quality-growth score. A score is a quantitative screen of Banco Santander, S.A.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

How does Bull Rankings grade SAN?

As a bank, insurer or REIT, SAN isn't given a quality-growth score — signals like free cash flow, debt-to-equity and P/E don't translate cleanly to a balance-sheet business. Instead it's graded on a sector-appropriate card: price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and operating-cash-flow coverage and weakest on Rev (D+).

Is SAN overvalued or undervalued?

We don't publish a discounted-cash-flow value for SAN, and not because the business is unprofitable. For a lender, insurer or property trust, "free cash flow" measures balance-sheet growth rather than owner earnings — loan originations and repayments run through operating cash flow — so discounting it would produce a confident-looking number with nothing behind it. SAN is judged on book value, return on equity and income cover instead, which is what the financial-strength card shows.

What are the main risks of investing in SAN?

Balance-sheet financial — book value, net interest margin, and credit loss provisions are the lever points; a rates regime change or a deterioration in the loan book moves the stock more than EPS does.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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