Bull Rankings model

Pilgrim's Pride Corporation (PPC) stock analysis

Packaged Foods. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
PPC
Pilgrim's Pride Corporation · Packaged Foods
32.5Score
$28.65Oct 9 close$6.8B
1Y Target$33.29Analyst consensus · 7 analysts
5Y Target$42.02Compound horizon
10Y Target$53.89Long-dated conviction
FCF$267mTTM · 06/26
C
FCF $267m — modest; watch for margin expansion · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 06/26.
Rev+1.4%TTM YoY
C
Revenue +1.4% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E0.83
B
D/E 0.83 — near the Consumer Defensive debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E12.5x
A-
P/E 12.5 — cheaper than most Consumer Defensive peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG*—
—
PEG n/a — analysts expect next year's earnings to be no higher than last year's

* PEG n/a — analysts expect next year's earnings to be no higher than last year's

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 32.5
Quality56.2
Growth20.4
Value29.9
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
36% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value81% aboveest. fair value ~$16
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 17% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~1% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability18% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC10.5% · Breturn on invested capital — leads the quality score

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Packaged Foods · market cap $6.8b. Down 36% from 52-week high of $44.84 — deep drawdown territory. 7 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $33.29 (implying +16% upside).
Moat
ROE 15% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere.
Risk
Down 36% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Net margin 3.0% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Horizon
1-3 yr $33.29 (7-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $42.02 at ~8% CAGR — earnings growth and a modest re-rating. 10 yr $53.89 if the moat survives secular pressure.

PPC vs the Top Picks average

PillarPPCBook avgDiff
Quality5683-27
Growth2089-69
Value3076-46

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
-33.0 over 81 daily scores
From 65.5 (Jun 22) → 32.5 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

PPC at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD32.5/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY56.2GROWTH20.4VALUE29.9Reverse-DCF · Price implies ~17% growth a year from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$15.1–$16.3FAIR-VALUE RANGE$28.7PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$15.8 · price $28.7 is 81% above it.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$28.7LOW $25HIGH $44.8Trading at the 18th percentile of its 52-week range ($25–$44.8).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock-27%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-5.0%
90-day change-17.8%
Forward EPS estimate$2.74

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect PPC to earn is materially lower (-17.8%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
69
Position size
$1,977
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$21.49
25% below $28.65
$ at risk if stopped
$494.21
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Pilgrim's Pride Corporation (PPC): score, valuation & FAQ

Pilgrim's Pride Corporation (PPC) is a Packaged Foods company that scores 32.5 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a weak reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-). On valuation, PPC sits about 81% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 17% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.

Is PPC a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores PPC 32.5 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a weak reading. That is driven by P/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Pilgrim's Pride Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does PPC score 32.5 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on quality at 56.2 out of 100, with growth the weakest pillar at 20.4 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. PPC earns its highest marks on P/E (A-). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so PPC is measured against Packaged Foods peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is PPC overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $28.65, PPC sits about 81% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 17% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 12.5x P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in PPC?

Down 36% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Net margin 3.0% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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