1Y Target$30.74Near-term target
5Y Target$38.09Compound horizon
10Y Target$48.61Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.4bTTM · 12/25C+FCF $1.4b — respectable but not differentiating · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 12/25).
Rev+3.5%TTM YoYC+Revenue +3.5% — steady but below market-beating range · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E0.05totalAD/E 0.05 — essentially debt-free, pristine balance sheet · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/E7.6xAP/E 7.6 — deep value; well below S&P median (~20x)
PEG2.20proxyCPEG 2.20 — expensive relative to growth rate · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Food Products · market cap $6.8b. Down 44% from 52-week high of $50.99 — deep drawdown territory.
Moat
ROE 24% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Down 44% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Net margin 4.8% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Horizon
1-3 yr $30.74 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $38.09 at ~6% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $48.61 if the moat survives secular pressure.
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