Bull Rankings model

Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) stock analysis

REIT - Residential. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
MRP
Millrose Properties, Inc. · REIT - Residential
72.2REIT strength
$22.39Oct 13 close$3.7B
1Y Target$36.60Analyst consensus · 5 analysts
5Y Target$53.59Compound horizon
10Y Target$79.49Long-dated conviction
Yield14.1%
C+
Yield 14.1% — unusually high; verify the payout is sustainable · REITs are valued on FFO / AFFO, which our data source doesn't provide — we grade income, growth, and sector-relative leverage instead.
Rev+32.1%
A
Revenue +32.1% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E0.43
A-
D/E 0.43 — less debt than most Real Estate peers (≈25th pctile)

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Financial strength · 72.2 / 100
Profitability72.7
Value (P/B)100.0
Income40.0

A peer-relative read for reits on profitability (ROE, depreciation-adjusted), valuation, and covered income — the quality-growth (FCF/ROIC) screen doesn't apply to balance-sheet businesses. Not comparable to the 0–100 quality-growth score shown on other stocks.

Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
33% off the 12-month high

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
REIT - Residential · market cap $3.7b. Down 33% from 52-week high of $33.49 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +32% — in hypergrowth territory. 5 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $36.60 (implying +63% upside).
Moat
Net margin 63% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma.
Risk
Down 33% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Dividend payout 105% of earnings on a 14.1% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut.
Horizon
1-3 yr $36.60 (5-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $53.59 at ~19% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $79.49 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.

Not enough history yet — the model records MRP's score after each daily run, and the chart appears once a few days have accumulated.

MRP at a glance

FINANCIAL STRENGTH · REITPROFITABILITY73VALUE100COVERED INCOME4072.2/100 on our peer scale — not the quality-growth score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$22.4LOW $21.7HIGH $33.5Trading near its 52-week low ($21.7–$33.5).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock-28%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-0.6%
90-day change+0.2%
Forward EPS estimate$3.24

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect MRP to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
89
Position size
$1,993
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$16.79
25% below $22.39
$ at risk if stopped
$498.18
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP): score, valuation & FAQ

Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) is a REIT - Residential company. As a bank, insurer or REIT it runs on a different financial model from the rest of the market, so Bull Rankings grades it on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and cash-flow coverage — rather than the 0–100 quality-growth score used elsewhere. The read below is a transparent screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A) and D/E (A-).

Is MRP a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings grades MRP on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout and cash-flow coverage — rather than a single quality-growth score. That is driven by Rev (A) and D/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Millrose Properties, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

How does Bull Rankings grade MRP?

As a bank, insurer or REIT, MRP isn't given a quality-growth score — signals like free cash flow, debt-to-equity and P/E don't translate cleanly to a balance-sheet business. Instead it's graded on a sector-appropriate card: price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and operating-cash-flow coverage, where it rates strongest on Rev (A) and D/E (A-).

Is MRP overvalued or undervalued?

We don't publish a discounted-cash-flow value for MRP, and not because the business is unprofitable. For a lender, insurer or property trust, "free cash flow" measures balance-sheet growth rather than owner earnings — loan originations and repayments run through operating cash flow — so discounting it would produce a confident-looking number with nothing behind it. MRP is judged on book value, return on equity and income cover instead, which is what the financial-strength card shows.

What are the main risks of investing in MRP?

Down 33% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Dividend payout 105% of earnings on a 14.1% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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