Bull Rankings model

Fox Corporation (FOX) stock analysis

Entertainment. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
FOX
Fox Corporation · Entertainment
49.3Score
$55.89Oct 9 close$23.6B
1Y Target$60.36Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$76.20Compound horizon
10Y Target$97.73Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.5bTTM · 06/26
C+
FCF $1.5b — respectable but not differentiating · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 06/26.
Rev+5.1%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +5.1% — steady but below market-beating range · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E0.64
B
D/E 0.64 — near the Communication Services debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E14.6x
B+
P/E 14.6 — below the Communication Services median (≈40th pctile)
PEG*—
—
PEG n/a — not reported for this company

* PEG n/a — not reported for this company

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 49.3
Quality70.7
Growth49.3
Value34.4
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
18% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value27% belowest. fair value ~$77
What the price assumes: free cash flow shrinking about 3% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~5% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
ROIC11.6% · Breturn on invested capital — leads the quality score

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Entertainment · market cap $23.6b. 18% off the 52-week high of $68.17.
Moat
ROE 14% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere.
Risk
Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.
Horizon
1-3 yr $60.36 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $76.20 at ~6% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $97.73 if the moat survives secular pressure.

FOX vs the Top Picks average

PillarFOXBook avgDiff
Quality7183-12
Growth4989-40
Value3476-42

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
-22.7 over 82 daily scores
From 72.0 (Jun 22) → 49.3 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

FOX at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD49.3/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY70.7GROWTH49.3VALUE34.4Reverse-DCF · Price implies roughly no growth from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$75.4$79.7FAIR-VALUE RANGE$55.9PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$77.1 · price $55.9 is 27% below it.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$55.9LOW $44.1HIGH $68.2Trading at the 49th percentile of its 52-week range ($44.1–$68.2).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+11%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.0%
90-day change+5.9%
Forward EPS estimate$5.75

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect FOX to earn is materially higher (+5.9%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
35
Position size
$1,956
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$41.92
25% below $55.89
$ at risk if stopped
$489.04
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Fox Corporation (FOX): score, valuation & FAQ

Fox Corporation (FOX) is an Entertainment company that scores 49.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (B+). On valuation, FOX sits about 27% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 3% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten.

Is FOX a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores FOX 49.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by P/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Fox Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does FOX score 49.3 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on quality at 70.7 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 34.4 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. FOX earns its highest marks on P/E (B+). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so FOX is measured against Entertainment peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is FOX overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $55.89, FOX sits about 27% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 3% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 14.6x P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in FOX?

Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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