Coty Inc. — Household & Personal Products. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.
★
COTY
Coty Inc. · Household & Personal Products
FCF$311mC
Rev-3.7%D+
D/E0.98B
P/S0.3xA
PEG0.18A
42.1Score
$2.13$1.9B
1Y Target$3.13Analyst consensus · 14 analysts
5Y Target$5.48Compound horizon
10Y Target$13.90Long-dated conviction
FCF$311mTTMC
FCF $311m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev-3.7%TTM YoYD+
Revenue -3.7% — shrinking; needs a catalyst to reverse
D/E0.98B
D/E 0.98 — near the Consumer Defensive debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/S0.3xA
P/S 0.3x — cheapest decile in Consumer Defensive (≈10th pctile)
PEG0.18A
PEG 0.18 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 42.1
Quality0.31
Growth0.25
Value0.98
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
60% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value75% belowest. fair value ~$8
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability36% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC-0.3% · Freturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Household & Personal Products · market cap $1.9b. Down 60% from 52-week high of $5.33 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.18 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 14 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $3.13 (implying +47% upside).
Moat
Turnaround / out-of-favor name — GAAP-unprofitable for now, so the durability case is forward-looking: it rests on a recovery (margin normalization, a cyclical upturn or restructuring) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than on current reported results.
Risk
Currently unprofitable (margin -9.2%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 60% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. ROE -17% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $3.13 (14-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $5.48 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $13.90 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Position sizing · COTY
$
%
%
Shares to buy
938
Position size
$1,998
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$1.60
25% below $2.13
$ at risk if stopped
$499.48
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Coty Inc. (COTY): score, valuation & FAQ
Coty Inc. (COTY) is a Household & Personal Products company that scores 42.1 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are P/S (A) and PEG (A), while Rev (D+) rate weaker. On valuation, COTY sits about 75% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety).
Is COTY a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores COTY 42.1 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by P/S (A) and PEG (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Coty Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does COTY score 42.1 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). COTY earns its highest marks on P/S (A) and PEG (A), and is held back by Rev (D+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is COTY overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $2.13, COTY sits about 75% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in COTY?
Currently unprofitable (margin -9.2%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 60% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. ROE -17% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.