Bull Rankings model

Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) stock analysis

Financial Data & Stock Exchanges. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
COIN
Coinbase Global, Inc. · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
13.9Financial strength
$179.39Oct 9 close$47.3B
1Y Target$212.37Analyst consensus · 33 analysts
5Y Target$371.43Compound horizon
10Y Target$663.82Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.7bTTM · 06/26
C+
FCF $1.7b — respectable but not differentiating · Trailing twelve months to 06/26 (operating cash flow − capex).
Rev+9.4%FY YoY
B
Revenue +9.4% — at or above S&P median · Computed from the last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.51
B+
D/E 0.51 — below the Financial Services debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/S*7.8x
C
P/S 7.8x — expensive vs Financial Services peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG1.74
C+
PEG 1.74 — modest premium; above fair value

* P/S replaces P/E — no positive earnings to divide by

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Financial strength · 13.9 / 100
Profitability0.0
Value (P/B)21.4
Income30.0

A peer-relative read for financials on profitability (ROE), valuation, and covered income — the quality-growth (FCF/ROIC) screen doesn't apply to balance-sheet businesses. Not comparable to the 0–100 quality-growth score shown on other stocks.

Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
52% off the 12-month high

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Financial Data & Stock Exchanges · market cap $47.3b. Down 52% from 52-week high of $373.25 — deep drawdown territory. 33 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $212.37 (implying +18% upside).
Moat
Turnaround / out-of-favor name — GAAP-unprofitable for now, so the durability case is forward-looking: it rests on a recovery (margin normalization, a cyclical upturn or restructuring) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than on current reported results.
Risk
Currently unprofitable (margin -16.3%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 52% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 3.41 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $212.37 (33-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $371.43 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $663.82 — return distribution heavily skewed.

Not enough history yet — the model records COIN's score after each daily run, and the chart appears once a few days have accumulated.

COIN at a glance

FINANCIAL STRENGTH · BANKPROFITABILITY0VALUE21COVERED INCOME3013.9/100 on our peer scale — not the quality-growth score.
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock-52%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$179LOW $139HIGH $373Trading at the 17th percentile of its 52-week range ($139–$373).

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+14.6%
90-day change-22.5%
Forward EPS estimate$3.14

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect COIN to earn is materially lower (-22.5%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A fiscal-year roll fell inside this window: the forward horizon moved on to the next financial year, which shifts the earnings figure without any analyst changing their view. That step is excluded, so the number above covers the rest of the window rather than all of it.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
11
Position size
$1,973
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$134.54
25% below $179.39
$ at risk if stopped
$493.32
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN): score, valuation & FAQ

Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) is a Financial Data & Stock Exchanges company. As a bank, insurer or REIT it runs on a different financial model from the rest of the market, so Bull Rankings grades it on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and cash-flow coverage — rather than the 0–100 quality-growth score used elsewhere. The read below is a transparent screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (B+).

Is COIN a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings grades COIN on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout and cash-flow coverage — rather than a single quality-growth score. That is driven by D/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Coinbase Global, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

How does Bull Rankings grade COIN?

As a bank, insurer or REIT, COIN isn't given a quality-growth score — signals like free cash flow, debt-to-equity and P/E don't translate cleanly to a balance-sheet business. Instead it's graded on a sector-appropriate card: price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and operating-cash-flow coverage, where it rates strongest on D/E (B+).

Is COIN overvalued or undervalued?

We don't publish a discounted-cash-flow value for COIN, and not because the business is unprofitable. For a lender, insurer or property trust, "free cash flow" measures balance-sheet growth rather than owner earnings — loan originations and repayments run through operating cash flow — so discounting it would produce a confident-looking number with nothing behind it. COIN is judged on book value, return on equity and income cover instead, which is what the financial-strength card shows.

What are the main risks of investing in COIN?

Currently unprofitable (margin -16.3%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 52% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 3.41 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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