Bull Rankings model

Cimpress plc (CMPR) stock analysis

Specialty Business Services. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
CMPR
Cimpress plc · Specialty Business Services
69.3Score
$74.21Oct 9 close$1.8B
1Y Target$85.34Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$124.95Compound horizon
10Y Target$185.35Long-dated conviction
FCF$116mTTM · 06/26
C
FCF $116m — modest; watch for margin expansion · Trailing twelve months to 06/26 (operating cash flow − capex).
Rev+9.8%FY YoY
B
Revenue +9.8% — at or above S&P median · Computed from the last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/ENegative equity
—
Shareholders' equity is below zero, usually after years of share buybacks, so debt-to-equity has no meaning here. When the company earns an operating profit, the score measures its debt as net debt against that profit instead.
P/E19.6x
B+
P/E 19.6 — below the Industrials median (≈40th pctile)
PEG2.38
C
PEG 2.38 — expensive relative to growth rate

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 69.3
Quality65.5
Growth68.4
Value74.2
Why this score
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
30% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value51% aboveest. fair value ~$49
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 18% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~9% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Specialty Business Services · market cap $1.8b. Down 30% from 52-week high of $106.58 — deep drawdown territory.
Moat
FCF converts 121% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash.
Risk
Down 30% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.82 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Net margin 2.6% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Horizon
1-3 yr $85.34 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $124.95 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $185.35 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.

CMPR vs the Top Picks average

PillarCMPRBook avgDiff
Quality6683-17
Growth6889-21
Value7476-2

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
+20.0 over 82 daily scores
From 49.3 (Jun 22) → 69.3 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

CMPR at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD69.3/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY65.5GROWTH68.4VALUE74.2Reverse-DCF · Price implies ~18% growth a year from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$46.2$53.1FAIR-VALUE RANGE$74.2PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$49.1 · price $74.2 is 51% above it.
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100CMPR 69.3Top 11% of 1,709 companies on the quality-growth score.
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+21%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.0%
90-day change+0.0%
Forward EPS estimate$5.63

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect CMPR to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
26
Position size
$1,929
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$55.66
25% below $74.21
$ at risk if stopped
$482.36
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Cimpress plc (CMPR): score, valuation & FAQ

Cimpress plc (CMPR) is a Specialty Business Services company that scores 69.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (B+). On valuation, CMPR sits about 51% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 18% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.

Is CMPR a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores CMPR 69.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by P/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Cimpress plc's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does CMPR score 69.3 on Bull Rankings?

It grades evenly across the three pillars — quality 65.5, growth 68.4, value 74.2 out of 100 — so no single pillar is carrying the score. CMPR earns its highest marks on P/E (B+). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so CMPR is measured against Specialty Business Services peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is CMPR overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $74.21, CMPR sits about 51% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 18% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 19.6x P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in CMPR?

Down 30% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.82 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Net margin 2.6% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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