Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

CMCSA analysis

Comcast CorporationTelecom Services. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

CMCSA
Comcast Corporation · Telecom Services
FCF$20.4bA
Rev+0.6%C
D/E1.00C+
P/E7.8xA
PEG142.98D
57.5Score
$24.61$87.3B
1Y Target$30.09Analyst consensus · 22 analysts
5Y Target$37.99Compound horizon
10Y Target$48.72Long-dated conviction
FCF$20.4bTTM
A
FCF $20.4b — top-tier cash generation, rarefied air
Rev+0.6%TTM YoY
C
Revenue +0.6% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present
D/E1.00
C+
D/E 1.00 — above the Communication Services debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/E7.8x
A
P/E 7.8 — cheapest decile in Communication Services (≈10th pctile)
PEG142.98
D
PEG 142.98 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 57.5
Quality0.76
Growth0.49
Value0.51
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
25% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value79% belowest. fair value ~$117
What the price assumes: outright free-cash-flow decline for the next decade — vs the ~3% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
ROIC15.1% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Telecom Services · market cap $87.3b. Down 25% from 52-week high of $32.86 — deep drawdown territory. 22 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $30.09 (implying +22% upside).
Moat
ROE 12% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 183% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined. $87.3b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.
Horizon
1-3 yr $30.09 (22-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $37.99 at ~9% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $48.72 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Trend
+12.8 over 31 daily scores
From 44.7 (Jun 22) → 57.5 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
81
Position size
$1,993
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$18.46
25% below $24.61
$ at risk if stopped
$498.35
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Comcast Corporation (CMCSA): score, valuation & FAQ

Comcast Corporation (CMCSA) is a Telecom Services company that scores 57.5 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are FCF (A) and P/E (A), while PEG (D) rate weaker. On valuation, CMCSA sits about 79% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies outright free-cash-flow decline over the next decade.

Is CMCSA a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores CMCSA 57.5 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by FCF (A) and P/E (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Comcast Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does CMCSA score 57.5 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). CMCSA earns its highest marks on FCF (A) and P/E (A), and is held back by PEG (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is CMCSA overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $24.61, CMCSA sits about 79% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies outright free-cash-flow decline over the next decade. It trades at a 7.8x× P/E (graded A). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in CMCSA?

Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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