Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

CALM analysis

Cal-Maine Foods, Inc.Farm Products. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

CALM
Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. · Farm Products
FCF$720mC+
Rev+83.2%A
D/E
P/E6.1xA
PEG2.20C
72Score
$87.54$4.1B
1Y Target$86.75Analyst consensus · 4 analysts
5Y Target$127.01Compound horizon
10Y Target$188.41Long-dated conviction
FCF$720mTTM
C+
FCF $720m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+83.2%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +83.2% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E
D/E data unavailable — neutral default
P/E6.1x
A
P/E 6.1 — cheapest decile in Consumer Defensive (≈10th pctile)
PEG2.20
C
PEG 2.20 — expensive relative to growth rate

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 72
Quality0.91
Growth0.65
Value0.63
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Durable high returns
  • Cut its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
31% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value53% belowest. fair value ~$186
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability37% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC24.7% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Farm Products · market cap $4.1b. Down 31% from 52-week high of $126.40 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +83% — in hypergrowth territory. 4 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $86.75 (implying -1% upside).
Moat
Net margin 20% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 26% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 104% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Down 31% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $86.75 (4-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $127.01 at ~8% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $188.41 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Trend
-0.8 over 14 daily scores
From 72.8 (Jun 22) → 72.0 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
22
Position size
$1,926
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$65.66
25% below $87.54
$ at risk if stopped
$481.47
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. (CALM): score, valuation & FAQ

Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. (CALM) is a Farm Products company that scores 72 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A) and P/E (A). On valuation, CALM sits about 53% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety).

Is CALM a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores CALM 72 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A) and P/E (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Cal-Maine Foods, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does CALM score 72 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). CALM earns its highest marks on Rev (A) and P/E (A). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is CALM overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $87.54, CALM sits about 53% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety). It trades at a 6.1x× P/E (graded A). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in CALM?

Down 31% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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