Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

APO analysis

Apollo Global Management, Inc. — Asset Management. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
APO
Apollo Global Management, Inc. · Asset Management
Rev+22.7%A-
P/E47.5xD
ROE11.4%B
P/B3.92C
Yield1.7%C+
42.0Asset manager strength
$133.44$78.8B
1Y Target$152.84Analyst consensus · 19 analysts
5Y Target$223.78Compound horizon
10Y Target$331.96Long-dated conviction
Rev+22.7%
A-
Revenue +22.7% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%)
P/E47.5x
D
P/E 47.5 — most expensive decile in Financial Services (≈95th pctile)
ROE11.4%
B
ROE 11.4% — acceptable capital return
P/B3.92
C
P/B 3.92 — expensive; pricing in strong ROE
Yield1.7%
C+
Yield 1.7% — small income component

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Financial strength · 42 / 100
Profitability60.6
Value (P/E)14.3
Income51.0

A peer-relative read for asset managers on profitability (ROE), valuation, and covered income — the quality-growth (FCF/ROIC) screen doesn't apply to balance-sheet businesses. Not comparable to the 0–100 quality-growth score shown on other stocks.

Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
13% off the 12-month high

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Apollo’s deep‑seated credit and private‑equity platform is set to compound revenue at a rapid clip, driven by its diversified exposure to high‑yield credit, direct lending and distressed assets. The firm posted 22.7% FY YoY revenue growth, a PEG of 0.61 indicating earnings are expanding far faster than the market expects, and a solid ROE of 11.4% that validates its capital efficiency. The thesis hinges on the continued roll‑up of credit‑rich opportunities that fuel this growth cycle.
Moat
Apollo’s moat lies in its proprietary deal‑sourcing network across credit, private‑equity, infrastructure and real‑estate, giving it privileged access to distressed and special‑situations assets that competitors can’t replicate quickly. Its multi‑strategy model locks in long‑term relationships with institutional investors who rely on Apollo’s expertise to navigate complex capital structures, creating high switching costs and a sustainable fee base.
Risk
The bear case centers on the elevated valuation and leverage: a forward P/E of 47.5 suggests the market is pricing in near‑term earnings acceleration that could stall, while a debt‑to‑equity of 1.01 amplifies sensitivity to rising interest rates and credit‑cycle headwinds. A slowdown in credit‑market deal flow or a widening spread would compress margins, and a breach of the 52‑week low ($99.56) would trigger stop‑loss selling, confirming the downside.
Horizon
1-3 yr $152.84 (19-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $223.78 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $331.96 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Score history · APO

Not enough history yet — the model records APO's score after each daily run, and the chart appears once a few days have accumulated.

APO at a glance

FINANCIAL STRENGTH · ASSET MANAGERPROFITABILITY61VALUE14COVERED INCOME5142/100 on our peer scale — not the quality-growth score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$133$99.6 LOWHIGH $153Trading at the 63rd percentile of its 52-week range ($99.6–$153).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock-2%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Every figure here comes from the same audited fundamentals behind the score. Charts drawn from data the score does not use say so on the card.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.7%
90-day change+1.1%
Forward EPS estimate$10.73

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect APO to earn is drifting higher (+1.1%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Position sizing · APO
Shares to buy
14
Position size
$1,868
3.7% of portfolio
Stop price
$100.08
25% below $133.44
$ at risk if stopped
$467.04
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Latest APO developments

Recent headlines from across the financial press · updated daily. Links open the source.

Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO): score, valuation & FAQ

Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) is a Asset Management company. As a bank, insurer or REIT it runs on a different financial model from the rest of the market, so Bull Rankings grades it on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and cash-flow coverage — rather than the 0–100 quality-growth score used elsewhere. The read below is a transparent screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A-), while P/E (D) rate weaker.

Is APO a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings grades APO on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout and cash-flow coverage — rather than a single quality-growth score. That is driven by Rev (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Apollo Global Management, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

How does Bull Rankings grade APO?

As a bank, insurer or REIT, APO isn't given a quality-growth score — signals like free cash flow, debt-to-equity and P/E don't translate cleanly to a balance-sheet business. Instead it's graded on a sector-appropriate card: price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and operating-cash-flow coverage, where it rates strongest on Rev (A-) and weakest on P/E (D).

Is APO overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for APO — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in APO?

The bear case centers on the elevated valuation and leverage: a forward P/E of 47.5 suggests the market is pricing in near‑term earnings acceleration that could stall, while a debt‑to‑equity of 1.01 amplifies sensitivity to rising interest rates and credit‑cycle headwinds. A slowdown in credit‑market deal flow or a widening spread would compress margins, and a breach of the 52‑week low ($99.56) would trigger stop‑loss selling, confirming the downside.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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