Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

AAPL analysis

Apple Inc.Consumer Electronics. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

AAPL
Apple Inc. · Consumer Electronics
FCF$136.7bA
Rev+14.2%B+
D/E0.78C+
P/E35.5xB
PEG2.46C
53.8Score
$311.00$4.5T
1Y Target$324.01Analyst consensus · 41 analysts
5Y Target$474.39Compound horizon
10Y Target$703.72Long-dated conviction
FCF$136.7bTTM
A
FCF $136.7b — top-tier cash generation, rarefied air
Rev+14.2%TTM YoY
B+
Revenue +14.2% — above sector median, healthy trajectory
D/E0.78
C+
D/E 0.78 — above the Technology debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/E35.5x
B
P/E 35.5 — near the Technology median (≈60th pctile)
PEG2.46
C
PEG 2.46 — expensive relative to growth rate

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 53.8
Quality0.84
Growth0.76
Value0.24
Why this score
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
10% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value115% aboveest. fair value ~$144
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~25% a year for the next decade — vs the ~8% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability59% · Agross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC64.4% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Consumer Electronics · market cap $4.5T. 10% off the 52-week high of $344.57. Revenue growing +14%, comfortably above the S&P median. 41 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $324.01 (implying +4% upside).
Moat
Net margin 28% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. FCF converts 106% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined. $4.5T market cap places it among the largest companies in the sector — distribution, R&D, and customer-acquisition costs amortize across a base peers can't replicate.
Risk
Trailing P/E 35x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Horizon
1-3 yr $324.01 (41-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $474.39 at ~9% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $703.72 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

AAPL vs the Top Picks average

PillarAAPLBook avgDiff
Quality0.840.84in line
Growth0.760.92-0.16
Value0.240.75-0.51

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 82.6). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+1.4 over 36 daily scores
From 52.4 (Jun 22) → 53.8 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
6
Position size
$1,866
3.7% of portfolio
Stop price
$233.25
25% below $311.00
$ at risk if stopped
$466.50
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Apple Inc. (AAPL): score, valuation & FAQ

Apple Inc. (AAPL) is a Consumer Electronics company that scores 53.8 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are FCF (A) and Rev (B+). On valuation, AAPL sits about 115% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 25% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is AAPL a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores AAPL 53.8 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by FCF (A) and Rev (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Apple Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does AAPL score 53.8 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). AAPL earns its highest marks on FCF (A) and Rev (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is AAPL overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $311.00, AAPL sits about 115% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 25% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 35.5x× P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in AAPL?

Trailing P/E 35x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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