Bull Rankings model

White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. (WTM) stock analysis

Insurance - Property & Casualty. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
WTM
White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. · Insurance - Property & Casualty
74.4Financial strength
$2,093.13Oct 13 close$5.0B
1Y Target$2,407Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$3,524Compound horizon
10Y Target$5,228Long-dated conviction
Rev+22.5%
A-
Revenue +22.5% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%)
P/E4.8x
A
P/E 4.8 — cheapest decile in Financial Services (≈10th pctile)
ROE20.4%
A-
ROE 20.4% — a high bar (above 20%)
P/B0.95
A-
P/B 0.95 — near book, cheap for a profitable franchise
Yield0.1%
C
Yield 0.1% — minimal

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Financial strength · 74.4 / 100
Profitability90.4
Value (P/B)86.9
Income30.6

A peer-relative read for financials on profitability (ROE), valuation, and covered income — the quality-growth (FCF/ROIC) screen doesn't apply to balance-sheet businesses. Not comparable to the 0–100 quality-growth score shown on other stocks.

Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
10% off the 12-month high

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Insurance - Property & Casualty · market cap $5.0b. 10% off the 52-week high of $2333.00. Revenue growing +23%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.81 — paying under fair value for the growth rate.
Moat
Net margin 38% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 20% is above 15% — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. Financial moat — scale of deposit base / underwriting franchise plus regulatory capital advantages. The largest players compound book value through cycles that erase smaller competitors.
Risk
Balance-sheet financial — book value, net interest margin, and credit loss provisions are the lever points; a rates regime change or a deterioration in the loan book moves the stock more than EPS does.
Horizon
1-3 yr $2,407 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $3,524 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $5,228 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.

Not enough history yet — the model records WTM's score after each daily run, and the chart appears once a few days have accumulated.

WTM at a glance

FINANCIAL STRENGTH · BANKPROFITABILITY90VALUE87COVERED INCOME3174.4/100 on our peer scale — not the quality-growth score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$2093LOW $1830HIGH $2333Trading at the 52nd percentile of its 52-week range ($1830–$2333).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+8%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.0%
90-day change+0.0%
Forward EPS estimate$90.00

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect WTM to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
0
Position size
$0.00
0.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$1,570
25% below $2,093
$ at risk if stopped
$0.00
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. (WTM): score, valuation & FAQ

White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. (WTM) is an Insurance - Property & Casualty company. As a bank, insurer or REIT it runs on a different financial model from the rest of the market, so Bull Rankings grades it on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and cash-flow coverage — rather than the 0–100 quality-growth score used elsewhere. The read below is a transparent screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A), Rev (A-) and ROE (A-).

Is WTM a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings grades WTM on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout and cash-flow coverage — rather than a single quality-growth score. That is driven by P/E (A), Rev (A-) and ROE (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

How does Bull Rankings grade WTM?

As a bank, insurer or REIT, WTM isn't given a quality-growth score — signals like free cash flow, debt-to-equity and P/E don't translate cleanly to a balance-sheet business. Instead it's graded on a sector-appropriate card: price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and operating-cash-flow coverage, where it rates strongest on P/E (A), Rev (A-) and ROE (A-).

Is WTM overvalued or undervalued?

We don't publish a discounted-cash-flow value for WTM, and not because the business is unprofitable. For a lender, insurer or property trust, "free cash flow" measures balance-sheet growth rather than owner earnings — loan originations and repayments run through operating cash flow — so discounting it would produce a confident-looking number with nothing behind it. WTM is judged on book value, return on equity and income cover instead, which is what the financial-strength card shows.

What are the main risks of investing in WTM?

Balance-sheet financial — book value, net interest margin, and credit loss provisions are the lever points; a rates regime change or a deterioration in the loan book moves the stock more than EPS does.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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