Bull Rankings model

AXIS Capital Holdings Limited (AXS) stock analysis

Insurance - Specialty. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
AXS
AXIS Capital Holdings Limited · Insurance - Specialty
73.4Financial strength
$97.55Oct 13 close$7.1B
1Y Target$122.09Analyst consensus · 11 analysts
5Y Target$154.14Compound horizon
10Y Target$197.68Long-dated conviction
Rev+6.8%
C+
Revenue +6.8% — steady but below market-beating range
P/E6.9x
A
P/E 6.9 — cheapest decile in Financial Services (≈10th pctile)
ROE17.4%
B+
ROE 17.4% — above long-run market (~13%)
P/B1.20
B+
P/B 1.20 — reasonable for a quality bank
Yield1.8%
C+
Yield 1.8% — small income component

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Financial strength · 73.4 / 100
Profitability82.3
Value (P/B)77.2
Income52.8

A peer-relative read for financials on profitability (ROE), valuation, and covered income — the quality-growth (FCF/ROIC) screen doesn't apply to balance-sheet businesses. Not comparable to the 0–100 quality-growth score shown on other stocks.

Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
19% off the 12-month high

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Insurance - Specialty · market cap $7.1b. 19% off the 52-week high of $119.99. 11 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $122.09 (implying +25% upside).
Moat
Net margin 16% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 17% is above 15% — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. Financial moat — scale of deposit base / underwriting franchise plus regulatory capital advantages. The largest players compound book value through cycles that erase smaller competitors.
Risk
Balance-sheet financial — book value, net interest margin, and credit loss provisions are the lever points; a rates regime change or a deterioration in the loan book moves the stock more than EPS does.
Horizon
1-3 yr $122.09 (11-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $154.14 at ~10% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $197.68 if the moat survives secular pressure.

Not enough history yet — the model records AXS's score after each daily run, and the chart appears once a few days have accumulated.

AXS at a glance

FINANCIAL STRENGTH · BANKPROFITABILITY82VALUE77COVERED INCOME5373.4/100 on our peer scale — not the quality-growth score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$97.6LOW $88.1HIGH $120Trading at the 30th percentile of its 52-week range ($88.1–$120).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock-1%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-1.1%
90-day change-7.6%
Forward EPS estimate$13.38

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect AXS to earn is materially lower (-7.6%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
20
Position size
$1,951
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$73.16
25% below $97.55
$ at risk if stopped
$487.75
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

AXIS Capital Holdings Limited (AXS): score, valuation & FAQ

AXIS Capital Holdings Limited (AXS) is an Insurance - Specialty company. As a bank, insurer or REIT it runs on a different financial model from the rest of the market, so Bull Rankings grades it on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and cash-flow coverage — rather than the 0–100 quality-growth score used elsewhere. The read below is a transparent screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A), ROE (B+) and P/B (B+).

Is AXS a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings grades AXS on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout and cash-flow coverage — rather than a single quality-growth score. That is driven by P/E (A), ROE (B+) and P/B (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of AXIS Capital Holdings Limited's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

How does Bull Rankings grade AXS?

As a bank, insurer or REIT, AXS isn't given a quality-growth score — signals like free cash flow, debt-to-equity and P/E don't translate cleanly to a balance-sheet business. Instead it's graded on a sector-appropriate card: price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and operating-cash-flow coverage, where it rates strongest on P/E (A), ROE (B+) and P/B (B+).

Is AXS overvalued or undervalued?

We don't publish a discounted-cash-flow value for AXS, and not because the business is unprofitable. For a lender, insurer or property trust, "free cash flow" measures balance-sheet growth rather than owner earnings — loan originations and repayments run through operating cash flow — so discounting it would produce a confident-looking number with nothing behind it. AXS is judged on book value, return on equity and income cover instead, which is what the financial-strength card shows.

What are the main risks of investing in AXS?

Balance-sheet financial — book value, net interest margin, and credit loss provisions are the lever points; a rates regime change or a deterioration in the loan book moves the stock more than EPS does.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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