Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

UMC analysis

United Microelectronics CorporationSemiconductors. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

UMC
United Microelectronics Corporation · Semiconductors
FCF$1.8bC+
Rev+4.4%C+
D/E0.14B+
P/E18.9xA-
PEG1.45B
46Score
$19.29$48.4B
1Y Target$18.49Analyst consensus · 4 analysts
5Y Target$27.07Compound horizon
10Y Target$40.16Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.8bTTM · 06/26
C+
FCF $1.8b — respectable but not differentiating · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 06/26).
Rev+4.4%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +4.4% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E0.14
B+
D/E 0.14 — below the Technology debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E18.9x
A-
P/E 18.9 — cheaper than most Technology peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG1.45
B
PEG 1.45 — acceptable premium for growth

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 46
Quality0.77
Growth0.38
Value0.46
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
  • Foreign reporter (TWD)
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
33% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value230% aboveest. fair value ~$6
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~31% a year for the next decade — vs the ~-4% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability14% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC10.6% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Semiconductors · market cap $48.4b. Down 33% from 52-week high of $28.96 — deep drawdown territory. 4 sell-side analysts rate this an Underperform with a mean 1-yr target of $18.49 (implying -4% upside).
Moat
Net margin 21% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 13% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. Semiconductor moat is process-design IP plus customer qualification timelines — once designed in, the company captures multiple product cycles before a competitor can displace.
Risk
Down 33% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.70 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Semiconductor cyclicality — inventory corrections compress margins faster than analysts model. Monitor channel inventory and book-to-bill ratios as leading indicators.
Horizon
1-3 yr $18.49 (4-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $27.07 at ~7% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $40.16 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

UMC vs the Top Picks average

PillarUMCBook avgDiff
Quality0.770.84-0.07
Growth0.380.92-0.54
Value0.460.75-0.29

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 82.6). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-3.9 over 36 daily scores
From 49.9 (Jun 22) → 46.0 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
103
Position size
$1,987
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$14.47
25% below $19.29
$ at risk if stopped
$496.72
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC): score, valuation & FAQ

United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) is a Semiconductors company that scores 46 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-) and D/E (B+). On valuation, UMC sits about 230% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 31% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is UMC a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores UMC 46 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by P/E (A-) and D/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of United Microelectronics Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does UMC score 46 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). UMC earns its highest marks on P/E (A-) and D/E (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is UMC overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $19.29, UMC sits about 230% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 31% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 18.9x× P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in UMC?

Down 33% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.70 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Semiconductor cyclicality — inventory corrections compress margins faster than analysts model. Monitor channel inventory and book-to-bill ratios as leading indicators.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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