Bull Rankings model

STAG Industrial, Inc. (STAG) stock analysis

REIT - Industrial. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
STAG
STAG Industrial, Inc. · REIT - Industrial
69.1REIT strength
$36.01Oct 9 close$7.1B
1Y Target$41.75Analyst consensus · 12 analysts
5Y Target$61.13Compound horizon
10Y Target$90.68Long-dated conviction
Yield4.3%
B+
Yield 4.3% — healthy income · REITs are valued on FFO / AFFO, which our data source doesn't provide — we grade income, growth, and sector-relative leverage instead.
Rev+10.1%
B
Revenue +10.1% — at or above S&P median
D/E0.94
B
D/E 0.94 — near the Real Estate debt median (≈60th pctile)

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Financial strength · 69.1 / 100
Profitability65.9
Value (P/B)58.8
Income83.2

A peer-relative read for reits on profitability (ROE, depreciation-adjusted), valuation, and covered income — the quality-growth (FCF/ROIC) screen doesn't apply to balance-sheet businesses. Not comparable to the 0–100 quality-growth score shown on other stocks.

Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
15% off the 12-month high

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
REIT - Industrial · market cap $7.1b. 15% off the 52-week high of $42.61. Revenue growing +10%, comfortably above the S&P median. 12 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $41.75 (implying +16% upside).
Moat
Net margin 28% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close.
Risk
Dividend payout 117% of earnings on a 4.3% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut. ROE 7% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $41.75 (12-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $61.13 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $90.68 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Score history · STAG

Not enough history yet — the model records STAG's score after each daily run, and the chart appears once a few days have accumulated.

STAG at a glance

FINANCIAL STRENGTH · REITPROFITABILITY66VALUE59COVERED INCOME8369.1/100 on our peer scale — not the quality-growth score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$36LOW $35.1HIGH $42.6Trading near its 52-week low ($35.1–$42.6).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+1%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.0%
90-day change+0.0%
Forward EPS estimate$0.88

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect STAG to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Position sizing · STAG
Shares to buy
55
Position size
$1,981
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$27.01
25% below $36.01
$ at risk if stopped
$495.14
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

STAG Industrial, Inc. (STAG): score, valuation & FAQ

STAG Industrial, Inc. (STAG) is a REIT - Industrial company. As a bank, insurer or REIT it runs on a different financial model from the rest of the market, so Bull Rankings grades it on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and cash-flow coverage — rather than the 0–100 quality-growth score used elsewhere. The read below is a transparent screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Yield (B+).

Is STAG a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings grades STAG on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout and cash-flow coverage — rather than a single quality-growth score. That is driven by Yield (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of STAG Industrial, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

How does Bull Rankings grade STAG?

As a bank, insurer or REIT, STAG isn't given a quality-growth score — signals like free cash flow, debt-to-equity and P/E don't translate cleanly to a balance-sheet business. Instead it's graded on a sector-appropriate card: price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and operating-cash-flow coverage, where it rates strongest on Yield (B+).

Is STAG overvalued or undervalued?

We don't publish a discounted-cash-flow value for STAG, and not because the business is unprofitable. For a lender, insurer or property trust, "free cash flow" measures balance-sheet growth rather than owner earnings — loan originations and repayments run through operating cash flow — so discounting it would produce a confident-looking number with nothing behind it. STAG is judged on book value, return on equity and income cover instead, which is what the financial-strength card shows.

What are the main risks of investing in STAG?

Dividend payout 117% of earnings on a 4.3% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut. ROE 7% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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