Rithm Capital Corp. — REIT - Mortgage. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
RITM
Rithm Capital Corp. · REIT - Mortgage
Yield10.0%C+
Rev-4.9%D+
D/E3.88C
74.5REIT strength
$10.08$5.6B
1Y Target$13.15Analyst consensus · 10 analysts
5Y Target$19.25Compound horizon
10Y Target$28.56Long-dated conviction
Yield10.0%C+
Yield 10.0% — unusually high; verify the payout is sustainable · REITs are valued on FFO / AFFO, which our data source doesn't provide — we grade income, growth, and sector-relative leverage instead.
Rev-4.9%D+
Revenue -4.9% — shrinking; needs a catalyst to reverse
D/E3.88C
D/E 3.88 — more levered than most Real Estate peers (≈90th pctile)
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Financial strength · 74.5 / 100
Profitability57.3
Value (P/B)95.8
Income62.6
A peer-relative read for reits on profitability (ROE, depreciation-adjusted), valuation, and covered income — the quality-growth (FCF/ROIC) screen doesn't apply to balance-sheet businesses. Not comparable to the 0–100 quality-growth score shown on other stocks.
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
21% off the 12-month high
Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.
Why now
REIT - Mortgage · market cap $5.6b. Down 21% from 52-week high of $12.74 — deep drawdown territory. 10 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $13.15 (implying +30% upside).
Moat
Moat signals from the quantitative card are modest — profitability and capital efficiency are middle-of-pack. The thesis here depends on softer factors (switching costs, brand, distribution, regulatory protection) not captured by the quality-growth screen.
Risk
D/E 3.88 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Dividend payout 167% of earnings on a 10.0% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut. ROE 6% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $13.15 (10-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $19.25 at ~14% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $28.56 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Score history · RITM
Not enough history yet — the model records RITM's score after each daily run, and the chart appears once a few days have accumulated.
RITM at a glance
Every figure here comes from the same audited fundamentals behind the score. Charts drawn from data the score does not use say so on the card.
Analyst estimate revisions
30-day change
+0.2%
90-day change
-0.9%
Forward EPS estimate
$2.35
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect RITM to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →
Position sizing · RITM
$
%
%
Shares to buy
198
Position size
$1,996
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$7.56
25% below $10.08
$ at risk if stopped
$498.96
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM): score, valuation & FAQ
Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) is a REIT - Mortgage company. As a bank, insurer or REIT it runs on a different financial model from the rest of the market, so Bull Rankings grades it on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and cash-flow coverage — rather than the 0–100 quality-growth score used elsewhere. The read below is a transparent screen, not a buy recommendation.
The model flags Rev (D+) as weaker areas.
Is RITM a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings grades RITM on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout and cash-flow coverage — rather than a single quality-growth score. A score is a quantitative screen of Rithm Capital Corp.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
How does Bull Rankings grade RITM?
As a bank, insurer or REIT, RITM isn't given a quality-growth score — signals like free cash flow, debt-to-equity and P/E don't translate cleanly to a balance-sheet business. Instead it's graded on a sector-appropriate card: price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and operating-cash-flow coverage and weakest on Rev (D+).
Is RITM overvalued or undervalued?
We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for RITM — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.
What are the main risks of investing in RITM?
D/E 3.88 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Dividend payout 167% of earnings on a 10.0% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut. ROE 6% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.