Bull Rankings model

Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (PK) stock analysis

REIT - Hotel & Motel. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
PK
Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. · REIT - Hotel & Motel
74.2REIT strength
$15.59Oct 13 close$3.1B
1Y Target$16.18Analyst consensus · 17 analysts
5Y Target$28.29Compound horizon
10Y Target$50.56Long-dated conviction
Yield6.6%
A-
Yield 6.6% — strong income · REITs are valued on FFO / AFFO, which our data source doesn't provide — we grade income, growth, and sector-relative leverage instead.
Rev-1.4%
D+
Revenue -1.4% — shrinking; needs a catalyst to reverse
D/E1.35
C+
D/E 1.35 — above the Real Estate debt median (≈75th pctile)

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Financial strength · 74.2 / 100
Profitability15.0
Value (P/B)89.6
Income98.9

A peer-relative read for reits on profitability (ROE, depreciation-adjusted), valuation, and covered income — the quality-growth (FCF/ROIC) screen doesn't apply to balance-sheet businesses. Not comparable to the 0–100 quality-growth score shown on other stocks.

Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
4% off the 12-month high
Quality signals
ROIC0.6% · Creturn on invested capital — leads the quality score

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
REIT - Hotel & Motel · market cap $3.1b. 4% off the 52-week high of $16.20. PEG 0.65 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 17 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $16.18 (implying +4% upside).
Moat
Turnaround / out-of-favor name — GAAP-unprofitable for now, so the durability case is forward-looking: it rests on a recovery (margin normalization, a cyclical upturn or restructuring) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than on current reported results.
Risk
Currently unprofitable (margin -6.4%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Dividend payout 519% of earnings on a 6.6% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut. ROE -5% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $16.18 (17-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $28.29 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $50.56 — return distribution heavily skewed.

Not enough history yet — the model records PK's score after each daily run, and the chart appears once a few days have accumulated.

PK at a glance

FINANCIAL STRENGTH · REITPROFITABILITY15VALUE90COVERED INCOME9974.2/100 on our peer scale — not the quality-growth score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$15.6LOW $9.8HIGH $16.2Trading near its 52-week high ($9.8–$16.2).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+40%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.0%
90-day change+4.5%
Forward EPS estimate$0.55

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect PK to earn is drifting higher (+4.5%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
128
Position size
$1,996
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$11.69
25% below $15.59
$ at risk if stopped
$498.88
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (PK): score, valuation & FAQ

Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (PK) is a REIT - Hotel & Motel company. As a bank, insurer or REIT it runs on a different financial model from the rest of the market, so Bull Rankings grades it on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and cash-flow coverage — rather than the 0–100 quality-growth score used elsewhere. The read below is a transparent screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Yield (A-), while Rev (D+) rate weaker.

Is PK a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings grades PK on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout and cash-flow coverage — rather than a single quality-growth score. That is driven by Yield (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

How does Bull Rankings grade PK?

As a bank, insurer or REIT, PK isn't given a quality-growth score — signals like free cash flow, debt-to-equity and P/E don't translate cleanly to a balance-sheet business. Instead it's graded on a sector-appropriate card: price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and operating-cash-flow coverage, where it rates strongest on Yield (A-) and weakest on Rev (D+).

Is PK overvalued or undervalued?

We don't publish a discounted-cash-flow value for PK, and not because the business is unprofitable. For a lender, insurer or property trust, "free cash flow" measures balance-sheet growth rather than owner earnings — loan originations and repayments run through operating cash flow — so discounting it would produce a confident-looking number with nothing behind it. PK is judged on book value, return on equity and income cover instead, which is what the financial-strength card shows.

What are the main risks of investing in PK?

Currently unprofitable (margin -6.4%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Dividend payout 519% of earnings on a 6.6% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut. ROE -5% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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