Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

PK analysis

Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.REIT - Hotel & Motel. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

PK
Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. · REIT - Hotel & Motel
Yield6.4%A-
Rev-1.4%D+
D/E1.35C+
73.7REIT strength
$15.83$3.2B
1Y Target$15.19Analyst consensus · 16 analysts
5Y Target$26.56Compound horizon
10Y Target$47.47Long-dated conviction
Yield6.4%
A-
Yield 6.4% — strong income · REITs are valued on FFO / AFFO, which our data source doesn't provide — we grade income, growth, and sector-relative leverage instead.
Rev-1.4%
D+
Revenue -1.4% — shrinking; needs a catalyst to reverse
D/E1.35
C+
D/E 1.35 — above the Real Estate debt median (≈75th pctile)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Financial strength · 73.7 / 100
Profitability15.0
Value (P/B)88.1
Income99.1

A peer-relative read for reits on profitability (ROE, depreciation-adjusted), valuation, and covered income — the quality-growth (FCF/ROIC) screen doesn't apply to balance-sheet businesses. Not comparable to the 0–100 quality-growth score shown on other stocks.

Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
2% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value219% aboveest. fair value ~$5
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~35% a year for the next decade — vs the ~6% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
ROIC0.6% · Creturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
REIT - Hotel & Motel · market cap $3.2b. Trading near 52-week high of $16.20 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. PEG 0.65 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 16 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $15.19 (implying -4% upside).
Moat
Turnaround / out-of-favor name — GAAP-unprofitable for now, so the durability case is forward-looking: it rests on a recovery (margin normalization, a cyclical upturn or restructuring) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than on current reported results.
Risk
Currently unprofitable (margin -6.4%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Trading within 2% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. Dividend payout 538% of earnings on a 6.4% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut.
Horizon
1-3 yr $15.19 (16-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $26.56 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $47.47 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

Not enough history yet — the model records PK's score after each daily run, and the chart appears once a few days have accumulated.

PK at a glance

FINANCIAL STRENGTH · REITPROFITABILITY15VALUE88COVERED INCOME9973.7/100 on our peer scale — not the quality-growth score.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$4.8FAIR-VALUE RANGE$15.8PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$5 · price $15.8 is 69% above it.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$15.8$9.8 LOWHIGH $16.2Trading near its 52-week high ($9.8–$16.2).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+34%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Every figure here comes from the same audited fundamentals behind the score. Charts drawn from data the score does not use say so on the card.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+6.1%
90-day change+11.9%
Forward EPS estimate$0.57

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect PK to earn is materially higher (+11.9%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
126
Position size
$1,995
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$11.87
25% below $15.83
$ at risk if stopped
$498.64
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (PK): score, valuation & FAQ

Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (PK) is a REIT - Hotel & Motel company. As a bank, insurer or REIT it runs on a different financial model from the rest of the market, so Bull Rankings grades it on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and cash-flow coverage — rather than the 0–100 quality-growth score used elsewhere. The read below is a transparent screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Yield (A-), while Rev (D+) rate weaker. On valuation, PK sits about 219% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 35% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is PK a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings grades PK on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout and cash-flow coverage — rather than a single quality-growth score. That is driven by Yield (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

How does Bull Rankings grade PK?

As a bank, insurer or REIT, PK isn't given a quality-growth score — signals like free cash flow, debt-to-equity and P/E don't translate cleanly to a balance-sheet business. Instead it's graded on a sector-appropriate card: price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and operating-cash-flow coverage, where it rates strongest on Yield (A-) and weakest on Rev (D+).

Is PK overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $15.83, PK sits about 219% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 35% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in PK?

Currently unprofitable (margin -6.4%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Trading within 2% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. Dividend payout 538% of earnings on a 6.4% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

More Hotel REITs stocks by score

All Real Estate rankings →

Analyze another ticker →