Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

NTES analysis

NetEase, Inc.Electronic Gaming & Multimedia. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

NTES
NetEase, Inc. · Electronic Gaming & Multimedia
FCF$7.5bB+
Rev+7.0%C+
D/E0.06A-
P/E16.9xB+
PEG1.45B
54.8Score
$132.22$84.7B
1Y Target$161.73Analyst consensus · 32 analysts
5Y Target$236.79Compound horizon
10Y Target$351.26Long-dated conviction
FCF$7.5bTTM · 03/26
B+
FCF $7.5b — strong cash profile, above most peers · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+7.0%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +7.0% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E0.06
A-
D/E 0.06 — less debt than most Communication Services peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E16.9x
B+
P/E 16.9 — below the Communication Services median (≈40th pctile)
PEG1.45
B
PEG 1.45 — acceptable premium for growth

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 54.8
Quality0.90
Growth0.76
Value0.44
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
  • Foreign reporter (CNY)
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
17% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value45% belowest. fair value ~$242
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-7% a year for the next decade — vs the ~11% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability33% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC17.6% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · market cap $84.7b. 17% off the 52-week high of $159.55. 32 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $161.73 (implying +22% upside).
Moat
Net margin 31% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 22% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. FCF converts 148% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
Horizon
1-3 yr $161.73 (32-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $236.79 at ~12% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $351.26 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

NTES vs the Top Picks average

PillarNTESBook avgDiff
Quality0.900.83+0.07
Growth0.760.91-0.16
Value0.440.76-0.33

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 82.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-3.2 over 37 daily scores
From 58.5 (Jun 22) → 55.3 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
15
Position size
$1,983
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$99.16
25% below $132.22
$ at risk if stopped
$495.82
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

NetEase, Inc. (NTES): score, valuation & FAQ

NetEase, Inc. (NTES) is a Electronic Gaming & Multimedia company that scores 54.8 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A-), FCF (B+) and P/E (B+). On valuation, NTES sits about 45% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -7% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is NTES a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores NTES 54.8 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by D/E (A-), FCF (B+) and P/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of NetEase, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does NTES score 54.8 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). NTES earns its highest marks on D/E (A-), FCF (B+) and P/E (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is NTES overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $132.22, NTES sits about 45% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -7% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 16.9x× P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in NTES?

Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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