Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

MPT analysis

Medical Properties Trust, Inc.REIT - Healthcare Facilities. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

MPT
Medical Properties Trust, Inc. · REIT - Healthcare Facilities
Yield7.8%A-
Rev-2.4%D+
D/E2.13C
73.2REIT strength
$4.69$2.8B
1Y Target$5.71Analyst consensus · 7 analysts
5Y Target$9.99Compound horizon
10Y Target$25.35Long-dated conviction
Yield7.8%
A-
Yield 7.8% — strong income · REITs are valued on FFO / AFFO, which our data source doesn't provide — we grade income, growth, and sector-relative leverage instead.
Rev-2.4%
D+
Revenue -2.4% — shrinking; needs a catalyst to reverse
D/E2.13
C
D/E 2.13 — more levered than most Real Estate peers (≈90th pctile)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Financial strength · 73.2 / 100
Profitability0.15
Value (P/B)1.00
Income0.84

A peer-relative read for reits on profitability (ROE, depreciation-adjusted), valuation, and covered income — the quality-growth (FCF/ROIC) screen doesn't apply to balance-sheet businesses. Not comparable to the 0–100 quality-growth score shown on other stocks.

Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
28% off the 12-month high
Why now
REIT - Healthcare Facilities · market cap $2.8b. Down 28% from 52-week high of $6.47 — deep drawdown territory. 7 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $5.71 (implying +22% upside).
Moat
Turnaround / out-of-favor name — GAAP-unprofitable for now, so the durability case is forward-looking: it rests on a recovery (margin normalization, a cyclical upturn or restructuring) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than on current reported results.
Risk
D/E 2.13 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Currently unprofitable (margin -11.5%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Beta 1.46 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $5.71 (7-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $9.99 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $25.35 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

Not enough history yet — the model records MPT's score after each daily run, and the chart appears once a few days have accumulated.

Shares to buy
426
Position size
$1,998
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$3.52
25% below $4.69
$ at risk if stopped
$499.49
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Medical Properties Trust, Inc. (MPT): score, valuation & FAQ

Medical Properties Trust, Inc. (MPT) is a REIT - Healthcare Facilities company. As a bank, insurer or REIT it runs on a different financial model from the rest of the market, so Bull Rankings grades it on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and cash-flow coverage — rather than the 0–100 quality-growth score used elsewhere. The read below is a transparent screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Yield (A-), while Rev (D+) rate weaker.

Is MPT a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings grades MPT on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout and cash-flow coverage — rather than a single quality-growth score. That is driven by Yield (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Medical Properties Trust, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

How does Bull Rankings grade MPT?

As a bank, insurer or REIT, MPT isn't given a quality-growth score — signals like free cash flow, debt-to-equity and P/E don't translate cleanly to a balance-sheet business. Instead it's graded on a sector-appropriate card: price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and operating-cash-flow coverage, where it rates strongest on Yield (A-) and weakest on Rev (D+).

Is MPT overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for MPT — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in MPT?

D/E 2.13 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Currently unprofitable (margin -11.5%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Beta 1.46 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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