Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

MPT analysis

Medical Properties Trust, Inc.REIT - Healthcare Facilities. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

MPT
Medical Properties Trust, Inc. · REIT - Healthcare Facilities
Yield8.8%A-
Rev-2.4%D+
D/E2.16C
69.0REIT strength
$4.09$2.4B
1Y Target$5.11Analyst consensus · 7 analysts
5Y Target$8.93Compound horizon
10Y Target$15.96Long-dated conviction
Yield8.8%
A-
Yield 8.8% — strong income · REITs are valued on FFO / AFFO, which our data source doesn't provide — we grade income, growth, and sector-relative leverage instead.
Rev-2.4%
D+
Revenue -2.4% — shrinking; needs a catalyst to reverse
D/E2.16
C
D/E 2.16 — more levered than most Real Estate peers (≈90th pctile)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Financial strength · 69 / 100
Profitability15.0
Value (P/B)100.0
Income72.2

A peer-relative read for reits on profitability (ROE, depreciation-adjusted), valuation, and covered income — the quality-growth (FCF/ROIC) screen doesn't apply to balance-sheet businesses. Not comparable to the 0–100 quality-growth score shown on other stocks.

Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
37% off the 12-month high

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
REIT - Healthcare Facilities · market cap $2.4b. Down 37% from 52-week high of $6.47 — deep drawdown territory. 7 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $5.11 (implying +25% upside).
Moat
Turnaround / out-of-favor name — GAAP-unprofitable for now, so the durability case is forward-looking: it rests on a recovery (margin normalization, a cyclical upturn or restructuring) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than on current reported results.
Risk
D/E 2.16 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Currently unprofitable (margin -2.7%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 37% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $5.11 (7-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $8.93 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $15.96 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

Not enough history yet — the model records MPT's score after each daily run, and the chart appears once a few days have accumulated.

MPT at a glance

FINANCIAL STRENGTH · REITPROFITABILITY15VALUE100COVERED INCOME7269/100 on our peer scale — not the quality-growth score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$4.1$4 LOWHIGH $6.5Trading near its 52-week low ($4–$6.5).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock-9%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Every figure here comes from the same audited fundamentals behind the score. Charts drawn from data the score does not use say so on the card.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.0%
90-day change-11.1%
Forward EPS estimate$0.11

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect MPT to earn is materially lower (-11.1%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A fiscal-year roll fell inside this window: the forward horizon moved on to the next financial year, which shifts the earnings figure without any analyst changing their view. That step is excluded, so the number above covers the rest of the window rather than all of it.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
488
Position size
$1,996
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$3.07
25% below $4.09
$ at risk if stopped
$498.98
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Medical Properties Trust, Inc. (MPT): score, valuation & FAQ

Medical Properties Trust, Inc. (MPT) is a REIT - Healthcare Facilities company. As a bank, insurer or REIT it runs on a different financial model from the rest of the market, so Bull Rankings grades it on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and cash-flow coverage — rather than the 0–100 quality-growth score used elsewhere. The read below is a transparent screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Yield (A-), while Rev (D+) rate weaker.

Is MPT a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings grades MPT on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout and cash-flow coverage — rather than a single quality-growth score. That is driven by Yield (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Medical Properties Trust, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

How does Bull Rankings grade MPT?

As a bank, insurer or REIT, MPT isn't given a quality-growth score — signals like free cash flow, debt-to-equity and P/E don't translate cleanly to a balance-sheet business. Instead it's graded on a sector-appropriate card: price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and operating-cash-flow coverage, where it rates strongest on Yield (A-) and weakest on Rev (D+).

Is MPT overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for MPT — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in MPT?

D/E 2.16 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Currently unprofitable (margin -2.7%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 37% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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