Bull Rankings model

Century Communities, Inc. (CCS) stock analysis

Real Estate - Development. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
CCS
Century Communities, Inc. · Real Estate - Development
74.1REIT strength
$55.53Oct 13 close$1.6B
1Y Target$59.97Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$75.71Compound horizon
10Y Target$97.10Long-dated conviction
Yield2.3%
B
Yield 2.3% — modest income · REITs are valued on FFO / AFFO, which our data source doesn't provide — we grade income, growth, and sector-relative leverage instead.
Rev-8.9%
D
Revenue -8.9% — meaningful contraction
D/E0.66
A-
D/E 0.66 — less debt than most Real Estate peers (≈25th pctile)

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Financial strength · 74.1 / 100
Profitability54.8
Value (P/B)100.0
Income58.3

A peer-relative read for reits on profitability (ROE, depreciation-adjusted), valuation, and covered income — the quality-growth (FCF/ROIC) screen doesn't apply to balance-sheet businesses. Not comparable to the 0–100 quality-growth score shown on other stocks.

Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
27% off the 12-month high
Quality signals
ROIC7.1% · C+return on invested capital — leads the quality score

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Real Estate - Development · market cap $1.6b. Down 27% from 52-week high of $76.00 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue -9% — in contraction; any catalyst that reverses this triggers re-rating.
Moat
Moat signals from the quantitative card are modest — profitability and capital efficiency are middle-of-pack. The thesis here depends on softer factors (switching costs, brand, distribution, regulatory protection) not captured by the quality-growth screen.
Risk
Revenue contracting -9% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Net margin 3.4% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE 5% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $59.97 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $75.71 at ~6% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $97.10 if the moat survives secular pressure.

Not enough history yet — the model records CCS's score after each daily run, and the chart appears once a few days have accumulated.

CCS at a glance

FINANCIAL STRENGTH · REITPROFITABILITY55VALUE100COVERED INCOME5874.1/100 on our peer scale — not the quality-growth score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$55.5LOW $47.3HIGH $76Trading at the 29th percentile of its 52-week range ($47.3–$76).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock-4%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.0%
90-day change+11.9%
Forward EPS estimate$4.59

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect CCS to earn is materially higher (+11.9%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
36
Position size
$1,999
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$41.65
25% below $55.53
$ at risk if stopped
$499.77
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Century Communities, Inc. (CCS): score, valuation & FAQ

Century Communities, Inc. (CCS) is a Real Estate - Development company. As a bank, insurer or REIT it runs on a different financial model from the rest of the market, so Bull Rankings grades it on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and cash-flow coverage — rather than the 0–100 quality-growth score used elsewhere. The read below is a transparent screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A-), while Rev (D) rate weaker.

Is CCS a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings grades CCS on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout and cash-flow coverage — rather than a single quality-growth score. That is driven by D/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Century Communities, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

How does Bull Rankings grade CCS?

As a bank, insurer or REIT, CCS isn't given a quality-growth score — signals like free cash flow, debt-to-equity and P/E don't translate cleanly to a balance-sheet business. Instead it's graded on a sector-appropriate card: price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and operating-cash-flow coverage, where it rates strongest on D/E (A-) and weakest on Rev (D).

Is CCS overvalued or undervalued?

We don't publish a discounted-cash-flow value for CCS, and not because the business is unprofitable. For a lender, insurer or property trust, "free cash flow" measures balance-sheet growth rather than owner earnings — loan originations and repayments run through operating cash flow — so discounting it would produce a confident-looking number with nothing behind it. CCS is judged on book value, return on equity and income cover instead, which is what the financial-strength card shows.

What are the main risks of investing in CCS?

Revenue contracting -9% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Net margin 3.4% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE 5% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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