Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

CCS analysis

Century Communities, Inc.Real Estate - Development. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

CCS
Century Communities, Inc. · Real Estate - Development
Yield1.9%C+
Rev-8.0%D
D/E0.60A-
71.7REIT strength
$66.23$1.9B
1Y Target$71.53Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$90.30Compound horizon
10Y Target$115.81Long-dated conviction
Yield1.9%
C+
Yield 1.9% — small income component · REITs are valued on FFO / AFFO, which our data source doesn't provide — we grade income, growth, and sector-relative leverage instead.
Rev-8.0%
D
Revenue -8.0% — meaningful contraction
D/E0.60
A-
D/E 0.60 — less debt than most Real Estate peers (≈25th pctile)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Financial strength · 71.7 / 100
Profitability0.55
Value (P/B)0.98
Income0.53

A peer-relative read for reits on profitability (ROE, depreciation-adjusted), valuation, and covered income — the quality-growth (FCF/ROIC) screen doesn't apply to balance-sheet businesses. Not comparable to the 0–100 quality-growth score shown on other stocks.

Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
13% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value36% aboveest. fair value ~$49
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~13% a year for the next decade — vs the ~7% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
ROIC2.0% · Creturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Real Estate - Development · market cap $1.9b. 13% off the 52-week high of $76.00. Revenue -8% — in contraction; any catalyst that reverses this triggers re-rating.
Moat
Moat signals from the quantitative card are modest — profitability and capital efficiency are middle-of-pack. The thesis here depends on softer factors (switching costs, brand, distribution, regulatory protection) not captured by the quality-growth screen.
Risk
Revenue contracting -8% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Net margin 3.3% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE 5% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $71.53 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $90.30 at ~6% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $115.81 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

Not enough history yet — the model records CCS's score after each daily run, and the chart appears once a few days have accumulated.

Shares to buy
30
Position size
$1,987
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$49.67
25% below $66.23
$ at risk if stopped
$496.73
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Century Communities, Inc. (CCS): score, valuation & FAQ

Century Communities, Inc. (CCS) is a Real Estate - Development company. As a bank, insurer or REIT it runs on a different financial model from the rest of the market, so Bull Rankings grades it on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and cash-flow coverage — rather than the 0–100 quality-growth score used elsewhere. The read below is a transparent screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A-), while Rev (D) rate weaker. On valuation, CCS sits about 36% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 13% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is CCS a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings grades CCS on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout and cash-flow coverage — rather than a single quality-growth score. That is driven by D/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Century Communities, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

How does Bull Rankings grade CCS?

As a bank, insurer or REIT, CCS isn't given a quality-growth score — signals like free cash flow, debt-to-equity and P/E don't translate cleanly to a balance-sheet business. Instead it's graded on a sector-appropriate card: price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and operating-cash-flow coverage, where it rates strongest on D/E (A-) and weakest on Rev (D).

Is CCS overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $66.23, CCS sits about 36% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 13% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in CCS?

Revenue contracting -8% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Net margin 3.3% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE 5% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

More Real Estate stocks by score

All Real Estate rankings →

Analyze another ticker →