Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

AMD analysis

Advanced Micro Devices IncSemiconductors. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

AMD
Advanced Micro Devices Inc · Semiconductors
FCF$8.6bB+
Rev+35.0%A
D/E0.05A
P/E152.2xD
PEG4.35D
70Score
$467.51
1Y Target$537.64Near-term target
5Y Target$752.93Compound horizon
10Y Target$1,107Long-dated conviction
FCF$8.6bTTM · 03/26
B+
FCF $8.6b — strong cash profile, above most peers · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+35.0%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +35.0% — hypergrowth, top decile · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E0.05total
A
D/E 0.05 — essentially debt-free, pristine balance sheet · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/E152.2x
D
P/E 152.2 — extreme multiple; extraordinary growth required
PEG4.35proxy
D
PEG 4.35 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Semiconductors · market cap $762.3b. Trading near 52-week high of $481.41 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. Revenue growing +35% — in hypergrowth territory.
Moat
Net margin 13% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. $762.3b market cap places it among the largest companies in the sector — distribution, R&D, and customer-acquisition costs amortize across a base peers can't replicate. Semiconductor moat is process-design IP plus customer qualification timelines — once designed in, the company captures multiple product cycles before a competitor can displace.
Risk
Trailing P/E 152.2x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Trading within 3% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. Beta 2.47 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $537.64 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $752.93 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $1,107 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Shares to buy
4
Position size
$1,870
3.7% of portfolio
Stop price
$350.63
25% below $467.51
$ at risk
$500.00
1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

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