Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

AMD analysis

Advanced Micro Devices IncSemiconductors. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

AI
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices Inc · Semiconductors
FCF$8.6bB+
Rev+35.0%A
D/E0.05A
P/E140.9xD
PEG4.03D
46.9Score
$485.39$766.1B
1Y Target$558.20Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$817.26Compound horizon
10Y Target$1,212Long-dated conviction
FCF$8.6bTTM · 03/26
B+
FCF $8.6b — strong cash profile, above most peers · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+35.0%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +35.0% — hypergrowth, top decile · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E0.05total
A
D/E 0.05 — essentially debt-free, pristine balance sheet · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/E140.9x
D
P/E 140.9 — extreme multiple; extraordinary growth required
PEG4.03proxy
D
PEG 4.03 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 46.9
Quality0.60
Growth0.98
Value0.18
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
17% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value281% aboveest. fair value ~$128
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~51% a year for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Why now
Semiconductors · market cap $766.1b. 17% off the 52-week high of $584.73. Revenue growing +35% — in hypergrowth territory.
Moat
Net margin 13% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. $766.1b market cap places it among the largest companies in the sector — distribution, R&D, and customer-acquisition costs amortize across a base peers can't replicate. Semiconductor moat is process-design IP plus customer qualification timelines — once designed in, the company captures multiple product cycles before a competitor can displace.
Risk
Trailing P/E 140.9x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Beta 2.55 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. P/S 18.8x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.
Horizon
1-3 yr $558.20 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $817.26 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $1,212 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Trend
-11.1 over 29 daily scores
From 58.0 (Jun 22) → 46.9 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
4
Position size
$1,942
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$364.04
25% below $485.39
$ at risk if stopped
$485.39
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD): score, valuation & FAQ

Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD) is a Semiconductors company that scores 46.9 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), D/E (A) and FCF (B+), while P/E (D) and PEG (D) rate weaker. On valuation, AMD sits about 281% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 51% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is AMD a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores AMD 46.9 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A), D/E (A) and FCF (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Advanced Micro Devices Inc's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does AMD score 46.9 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). AMD earns its highest marks on Rev (A), D/E (A) and FCF (B+), and is held back by P/E (D) and PEG (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is AMD overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $485.39, AMD sits about 281% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 51% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 140.9x× P/E (graded D). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in AMD?

Trailing P/E 140.9x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Beta 2.55 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. P/S 18.8x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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