Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

ZTS analysis

Zoetis Inc.Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

Pharma
ZTS
Zoetis Inc. · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
FCF$2.3bB
Rev+1.5%C
D/E2.94D
P/E12.6xA
PEG6.97D
57.1Score
$77.17$31.9B
1Y Target$100.63Analyst consensus · 16 analysts
5Y Target$127.04Compound horizon
10Y Target$162.92Long-dated conviction
FCF$2.3bTTM
B
FCF $2.3b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return
Rev+1.5%TTM YoY
C
Revenue +1.5% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present
D/E2.94
D
D/E 2.94 — most levered decile in Healthcare (≈95th pctile)
P/E12.6x
A
P/E 12.6 — cheapest decile in Healthcare (≈10th pctile)
PEG6.97
D
PEG 6.97 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 57.1
Quality85.0
Growth43.1
Value50.7
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
51% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value32% belowest. fair value ~$113
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-4% a year for the next decade — vs the ~6% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability45% · A-gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · market cap $31.9b. Down 51% from 52-week high of $156.49 — deep drawdown territory. 16 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $100.63 (implying +30% upside).
Moat
Net margin 27% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 83% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. Pharma moat is patent runway + pipeline depth — a single approved molecule funds the next generation of bets. Late-stage trials carry binary readouts that swing valuation 30%+.
Risk
D/E 2.94 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Down 51% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Trial-readout binary — late-stage clinical trials carry approve/reject outcomes that swing valuation 30%+; the equity is effectively a portfolio of these binary events, not a steady cash-flow business.
Horizon
1-3 yr $100.63 (16-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $127.04 at ~10% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $162.92 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

ZTS vs the Top Picks average

PillarZTSBook avgDiff
Quality0.850.84in line
Growth0.430.87-0.44
Value0.510.76-0.25

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-11.6 over 46 daily scores
From 68.7 (Jun 22) → 57.1 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-10.0%
90-day change-10.4%
Forward EPS estimate$6.65

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect ZTS to earn is materially lower (-10.4%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
25
Position size
$1,929
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$57.88
25% below $77.17
$ at risk if stopped
$482.31
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Zoetis Inc. (ZTS): score, valuation & FAQ

Zoetis Inc. (ZTS) is a Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic company that scores 57.1 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A), while D/E (D) and PEG (D) rate weaker. On valuation, ZTS sits about 32% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -4% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is ZTS a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores ZTS 57.1 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/E (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Zoetis Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does ZTS score 57.1 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). ZTS earns its highest marks on P/E (A), and is held back by D/E (D) and PEG (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is ZTS overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $77.17, ZTS sits about 32% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -4% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 12.6x P/E (graded A). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in ZTS?

D/E 2.94 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Down 51% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Trial-readout binary — late-stage clinical trials carry approve/reject outcomes that swing valuation 30%+; the equity is effectively a portfolio of these binary events, not a steady cash-flow business.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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