★
RLJ
RLJ Lodging Trust · Real Estate
FCF——
Rev-0.8%D+
D/E1.01C+
P/E60.3xD+
PEG——
66Score
$9.871Y Target$11.35Near-term target
5Y Target$15.90Compound horizon
10Y Target$23.37Long-dated conviction
FCF—TTM—
FCF not applicable for this sector (bank / insurer / REIT) or data unavailable
Rev-0.8%TTM YoYD+
Revenue -0.8% — shrinking; needs a catalyst to reverse · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E1.01totalC+
D/E 1.01 — moderately levered, watch interest coverage · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/E60.3xD+
P/E 60.3 — expensive; prices in flawless execution
PEG—proxy—
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Real Estate · market cap $1.5b. Trading near 52-week high of $9.64 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety.
Moat
Moat signals from the quantitative card are modest — profitability and capital efficiency are middle-of-pack. The thesis here depends on softer factors (switching costs, brand, distribution, regulatory protection) not captured by the 7-grade screen.
Risk
Trailing P/E 60.3x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Trading within 2% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. Net margin 1.8% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Horizon
1-3 yr $11.35 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $15.90 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $23.37 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
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Position sizing · RLJ
Shares to buy
202
Position size
$1,994
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$7.40
25% below $9.87
$ at risk
$500.00
1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.