Bull Rankings model

RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) stock analysis

REIT - Hotel & Motel. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
RLJ
RLJ Lodging Trust · REIT - Hotel & Motel
75.1REIT strength
$11.60Oct 13 close$1.8B
1Y Target$11.75Analyst consensus · 10 analysts
5Y Target$20.55Compound horizon
10Y Target$36.73Long-dated conviction
Yield5.3%
A-
Yield 5.3% — strong income · REITs are valued on FFO / AFFO, which our data source doesn't provide — we grade income, growth, and sector-relative leverage instead.
Rev-1.4%
D+
Revenue -1.4% — shrinking; needs a catalyst to reverse
D/E1.30
C+
D/E 1.30 — above the Real Estate debt median (≈75th pctile)

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Financial strength · 75.1 / 100
Profitability25.5
Value (P/B)91.1
Income92.3

A peer-relative read for reits on profitability (ROE, depreciation-adjusted), valuation, and covered income — the quality-growth (FCF/ROIC) screen doesn't apply to balance-sheet businesses. Not comparable to the 0–100 quality-growth score shown on other stocks.

Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
10% off the 12-month high

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
REIT - Hotel & Motel · market cap $1.8b. 10% off the 52-week high of $12.89. 10 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $11.75 (implying +1% upside).
Moat
Higher-variance name — the moat signals on the quantitative card are modest, so the durability case rests on execution (turning current growth into durable earnings power) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than an entrenched competitive position.
Risk
Dividend payout 6000% of earnings on a 5.3% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut. Net margin 2.0% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE 1% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $11.75 (10-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $20.55 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $36.73 — return distribution heavily skewed.

Not enough history yet — the model records RLJ's score after each daily run, and the chart appears once a few days have accumulated.

RLJ at a glance

FINANCIAL STRENGTH · REITPROFITABILITY25VALUE91COVERED INCOME9275.1/100 on our peer scale — not the quality-growth score.
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+67%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$11.6LOW $6.5HIGH $12.9Trading at the 80th percentile of its 52-week range ($6.5–$12.9).

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Shares to buy
172
Position size
$1,995
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$8.70
25% below $11.60
$ at risk if stopped
$498.80
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ): score, valuation & FAQ

RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) is a REIT - Hotel & Motel company. As a bank, insurer or REIT it runs on a different financial model from the rest of the market, so Bull Rankings grades it on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and cash-flow coverage — rather than the 0–100 quality-growth score used elsewhere. The read below is a transparent screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Yield (A-), while Rev (D+) rate weaker.

Is RLJ a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings grades RLJ on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout and cash-flow coverage — rather than a single quality-growth score. That is driven by Yield (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of RLJ Lodging Trust's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

How does Bull Rankings grade RLJ?

As a bank, insurer or REIT, RLJ isn't given a quality-growth score — signals like free cash flow, debt-to-equity and P/E don't translate cleanly to a balance-sheet business. Instead it's graded on a sector-appropriate card: price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and operating-cash-flow coverage, where it rates strongest on Yield (A-) and weakest on Rev (D+).

Is RLJ overvalued or undervalued?

We don't publish a discounted-cash-flow value for RLJ, and not because the business is unprofitable. For a lender, insurer or property trust, "free cash flow" measures balance-sheet growth rather than owner earnings — loan originations and repayments run through operating cash flow — so discounting it would produce a confident-looking number with nothing behind it. RLJ is judged on book value, return on equity and income cover instead, which is what the financial-strength card shows.

What are the main risks of investing in RLJ?

Dividend payout 6000% of earnings on a 5.3% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut. Net margin 2.0% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE 1% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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