Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

JOE analysis

The St. Joe CompanyReal Estate - Diversified. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

JOE
The St. Joe Company · Real Estate - Diversified
Yield0.9%C
Rev+27.4%A-
D/E0.71B+
43.6REIT strength
$67.32$3.8B
1Y Target$77.42Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$113.35Compound horizon
10Y Target$168.14Long-dated conviction
Yield0.9%
C
Yield 0.9% — minimal · REITs are valued on FFO / AFFO, which our data source doesn't provide — we grade income, growth, and sector-relative leverage instead.
Rev+27.4%
A-
Revenue +27.4% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%)
D/E0.71
B+
D/E 0.71 — below the Real Estate debt median (≈40th pctile)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Financial strength · 43.6 / 100
Profitability100.0
Value (P/B)10.0
Income41.8

A peer-relative read for reits on profitability (ROE, depreciation-adjusted), valuation, and covered income — the quality-growth (FCF/ROIC) screen doesn't apply to balance-sheet businesses. Not comparable to the 0–100 quality-growth score shown on other stocks.

Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
8% off the 12-month high

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Real Estate - Diversified · market cap $3.8b. 8% off the 52-week high of $73.54. Revenue growing +27% — in hypergrowth territory.
Moat
Net margin 22% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 16% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Trailing P/E 32x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Horizon
1-3 yr $77.42 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $113.35 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $168.14 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

Not enough history yet — the model records JOE's score after each daily run, and the chart appears once a few days have accumulated.

JOE at a glance

FINANCIAL STRENGTH · REITPROFITABILITY100VALUE10COVERED INCOME4243.6/100 on our peer scale — not the quality-growth score.
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+37%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$67.3$46.4 LOWHIGH $73.5Trading at the 77th percentile of its 52-week range ($46.4–$73.5).

Every figure here comes from the same audited fundamentals behind the score. Charts drawn from data the score does not use say so on the card.

Shares to buy
29
Position size
$1,952
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$50.49
25% below $67.32
$ at risk if stopped
$488.07
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

The St. Joe Company (JOE): score, valuation & FAQ

The St. Joe Company (JOE) is a Real Estate - Diversified company. As a bank, insurer or REIT it runs on a different financial model from the rest of the market, so Bull Rankings grades it on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and cash-flow coverage — rather than the 0–100 quality-growth score used elsewhere. The read below is a transparent screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A-) and D/E (B+).

Is JOE a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings grades JOE on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout and cash-flow coverage — rather than a single quality-growth score. That is driven by Rev (A-) and D/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of The St. Joe Company's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

How does Bull Rankings grade JOE?

As a bank, insurer or REIT, JOE isn't given a quality-growth score — signals like free cash flow, debt-to-equity and P/E don't translate cleanly to a balance-sheet business. Instead it's graded on a sector-appropriate card: price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and operating-cash-flow coverage, where it rates strongest on Rev (A-) and D/E (B+).

Is JOE overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for JOE — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in JOE?

Trailing P/E 32x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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