Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

COR analysis

Cencora, Inc.Medical Distribution. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

COR
Cencora, Inc. · Medical Distribution
FCF$4.1bB
Rev+5.1%C+
D/E4.47D
P/E23.6xB+
PEG0.66A-
66.9Score
$318.04$60.7B
1Y Target$369.31Analyst consensus · 13 analysts
5Y Target$466.24Compound horizon
10Y Target$597.94Long-dated conviction
FCF$4.1bTTM
B
FCF $4.1b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return
Rev+5.1%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +5.1% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E4.47
D
D/E 4.47 — most levered decile in Healthcare (≈95th pctile)
P/E23.6x
B+
P/E 23.6 — below the Healthcare median (≈40th pctile)
PEG0.66
A-
PEG 0.66 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 66.9
Quality68.0
Growth68.1
Value64.5
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
16% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value43% belowest. fair value ~$561
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-6% a year for the next decade — vs the ~11% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability16% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC16.3% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Medical Distribution · market cap $60.7b. 16% off the 52-week high of $377.54. PEG 0.66 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 13 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $369.31 (implying +16% upside).
Moat
ROE 86% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 155% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined. $60.7b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
D/E 4.47 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Net margin 0.8% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Horizon
1-3 yr $369.31 (13-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $466.24 at ~8% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $597.94 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

COR vs the Top Picks average

PillarCORBook avgDiff
Quality0.680.84-0.16
Growth0.680.84-0.16
Value0.650.78-0.14

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-0.7 over 47 daily scores
From 67.6 (Jun 22) → 66.9 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-0.2%
90-day change-0.1%
Forward EPS estimate$19.79

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect COR to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
6
Position size
$1,908
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$238.53
25% below $318.04
$ at risk if stopped
$477.06
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Cencora, Inc. (COR): score, valuation & FAQ

Cencora, Inc. (COR) is a Medical Distribution company that scores 66.9 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are PEG (A-) and P/E (B+), while D/E (D) rate weaker. On valuation, COR sits about 43% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -6% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is COR a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores COR 66.9 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by PEG (A-) and P/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Cencora, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does COR score 66.9 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). COR earns its highest marks on PEG (A-) and P/E (B+), and is held back by D/E (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is COR overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $318.04, COR sits about 43% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -6% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 23.6x P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in COR?

D/E 4.47 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Net margin 0.8% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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