Bull Rankings model

Cencora, Inc. (COR) stock analysis

Medical Distribution. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
COR
Cencora, Inc. · Medical Distribution
62.1Score
$323.85Oct 9 close$61.8B
1Y Target$369.92Analyst consensus · 12 analysts
5Y Target$467.01Compound horizon
10Y Target$598.93Long-dated conviction
FCF$4.1bTTM · 06/26
B
FCF $4.1b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return · Trailing twelve months to 06/26 (operating cash flow − capex).
Rev+9.3%FY YoY
B
Revenue +9.3% — at or above S&P median · Computed from the last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E4.47
D
D/E 4.47 — most levered decile in Healthcare (≈95th pctile)
P/E24.0x
B+
P/E 24.0 — below the Healthcare median (≈40th pctile)
PEG0.67
A-
PEG 0.67 — strong; the growth comes cheap

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 62.1
Quality68.7
Growth72.8
Value47.8
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
14% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value41% belowest. fair value ~$551
What the price assumes: free cash flow shrinking about 5% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~11% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Medical Distribution · market cap $61.8b. 14% off the 52-week high of $377.54. PEG 0.67 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 12 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $369.92 (implying +14% upside).
Moat
ROE 97% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 155% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash. $61.8b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
D/E 4.47 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Net margin 0.8% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Horizon
1-3 yr $369.92 (12-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $467.01 at ~8% CAGR — dividend compounding plus earnings growth. 10 yr $598.93 if the moat survives secular pressure.

COR vs the Top Picks average

PillarCORBook avgDiff
Quality6983-14
Growth7389-16
Value4876-28

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
-5.5 over 82 daily scores
From 67.6 (Jun 22) → 62.1 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

COR at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD62.1/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY68.7GROWTH72.8VALUE47.8Reverse-DCF · Price implies roughly no growth from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$502$633FAIR-VALUE RANGE$324PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$551 · price $324 is 41% below it.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$324LOW $245HIGH $378Trading at the 60th percentile of its 52-week range ($245–$378).
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100COR 62.1Top 23% of 1,709 companies on the quality-growth score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-0.0%
90-day change-0.0%
Forward EPS estimate$19.80

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect COR to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
6
Position size
$1,943
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$242.89
25% below $323.85
$ at risk if stopped
$485.78
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Cencora, Inc. (COR): score, valuation & FAQ

Cencora, Inc. (COR) is a Medical Distribution company that scores 62.1 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are PEG (A-) and P/E (B+), while D/E (D) rate weaker. On valuation, COR sits about 41% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 5% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten.

Is COR a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores COR 62.1 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by PEG (A-) and P/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Cencora, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does COR score 62.1 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on growth at 72.8 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 47.8 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. COR earns its highest marks on PEG (A-) and P/E (B+), and is held back by D/E (D). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so COR is measured against Medical Distribution peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is COR overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $323.85, COR sits about 41% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 5% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 24.0x P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in COR?

D/E 4.47 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Net margin 0.8% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

More Medical Distribution stocks by score

All Healthcare rankings →

Analyze another ticker →