Bull Rankings model

Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) stock analysis

REIT - Retail. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
BRX
Brixmor Property Group Inc. · REIT - Retail
69.3REIT strength
$27.28Oct 13 close$8.4B
1Y Target$34.13Analyst consensus · 15 analysts
5Y Target$49.97Compound horizon
10Y Target$74.13Long-dated conviction
Yield4.5%
B+
Yield 4.5% — healthy income · REITs are valued on FFO / AFFO, which our data source doesn't provide — we grade income, growth, and sector-relative leverage instead.
Rev+6.7%
C+
Revenue +6.7% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E1.76
C
D/E 1.76 — more levered than most Real Estate peers (≈90th pctile)

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Financial strength · 69.3 / 100
Profitability100.0
Value (P/B)36.3
Income85.1

A peer-relative read for reits on profitability (ROE, depreciation-adjusted), valuation, and covered income — the quality-growth (FCF/ROIC) screen doesn't apply to balance-sheet businesses. Not comparable to the 0–100 quality-growth score shown on other stocks.

Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
17% off the 12-month high

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
REIT - Retail · market cap $8.4b. 17% off the 52-week high of $32.86. 15 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $34.13 (implying +25% upside).
Moat
Net margin 31% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 14% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere.
Risk
Dividend payout 86% of earnings on a 4.5% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut.
Horizon
1-3 yr $34.13 (15-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $49.97 at ~13% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $74.13 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.

Not enough history yet — the model records BRX's score after each daily run, and the chart appears once a few days have accumulated.

BRX at a glance

FINANCIAL STRENGTH · REITPROFITABILITY100VALUE36COVERED INCOME8569.3/100 on our peer scale — not the quality-growth score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$27.3LOW $24.7HIGH $32.9Trading at the 32nd percentile of its 52-week range ($24.7–$32.9).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+2%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-5.2%
90-day change-14.3%
Forward EPS estimate$0.95

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect BRX to earn is materially lower (-14.3%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
73
Position size
$1,991
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$20.46
25% below $27.28
$ at risk if stopped
$497.86
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX): score, valuation & FAQ

Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) is a REIT - Retail company. As a bank, insurer or REIT it runs on a different financial model from the rest of the market, so Bull Rankings grades it on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and cash-flow coverage — rather than the 0–100 quality-growth score used elsewhere. The read below is a transparent screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Yield (B+).

Is BRX a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings grades BRX on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout and cash-flow coverage — rather than a single quality-growth score. That is driven by Yield (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Brixmor Property Group Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

How does Bull Rankings grade BRX?

As a bank, insurer or REIT, BRX isn't given a quality-growth score — signals like free cash flow, debt-to-equity and P/E don't translate cleanly to a balance-sheet business. Instead it's graded on a sector-appropriate card: price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and operating-cash-flow coverage, where it rates strongest on Yield (B+).

Is BRX overvalued or undervalued?

We don't publish a discounted-cash-flow value for BRX, and not because the business is unprofitable. For a lender, insurer or property trust, "free cash flow" measures balance-sheet growth rather than owner earnings — loan originations and repayments run through operating cash flow — so discounting it would produce a confident-looking number with nothing behind it. BRX is judged on book value, return on equity and income cover instead, which is what the financial-strength card shows.

What are the main risks of investing in BRX?

Dividend payout 86% of earnings on a 4.5% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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