Bull Rankings model

Beacon Financial Corporation (BBT) stock analysis

Banks - Regional. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
BBT
Beacon Financial Corporation · Banks - Regional
70.3Financial strength
$27.19Oct 9 close$2.3B
1Y Target$34.33Analyst consensus · 6 analysts
5Y Target$50.27Compound horizon
10Y Target$74.57Long-dated conviction
Rev+55.5%
A
Revenue +55.5% — hypergrowth, top decile
P/E7.4x
A
P/E 7.4 — cheapest decile in Financial Services (≈10th pctile)
ROE8.4%
C+
ROE 8.4% — subdued returns on equity
P/B0.90
A-
P/B 0.90 — near book, cheap for a profitable franchise
Yield4.7%
B+
Yield 4.7% — healthy income

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Financial strength · 70.3 / 100
Profitability48.7
Value (P/B)88.9
Income86.9

A peer-relative read for financials on profitability (ROE), valuation, and covered income — the quality-growth (FCF/ROIC) screen doesn't apply to balance-sheet businesses. Not comparable to the 0–100 quality-growth score shown on other stocks.

Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
17% off the 12-month high

Model-generatedWritten from the fundamentals then; figures in the text are as of that day, today's are above · Editorial standards

Why now
Beacon’s explosive 55.5% FY revenue growth is being powered by its specialty equipment financing and SBA loan franchise, which lock in small‑business borrowers and generate recurring fee income. That growth is underpinned by a razor‑thin PE of 7.4x and a healthy 21% profit margin, giving the stock massive upside as earnings compound. The thesis rests on the continued expansion of SBA and equipment‑finance demand, which should keep revenue compounding at double‑digit rates.
Moat
The bank’s deep foothold in SBA lending and specialty equipment financing creates high switching costs for commercial borrowers who rely on integrated cash‑management and trust services, making it hard for regional rivals to poach these relationships. This bundled offering yields a cost advantage and sticky fee streams that protect margins.
Risk
If the SBA pipeline stalls or equipment‑finance demand cools, revenue growth could tumble from the current 55.5% pace, pressuring the thin 21% margin and exposing earnings volatility despite the low PE. A sustained slowdown would be signaled by earnings miss and the stock sliding back toward its 52‑week low of $22.81, eroding the upside thesis.
Horizon
1-3 yr $34.33 (6-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $50.27 at ~13% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $74.57 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.

Not enough history yet — the model records BBT's score after each daily run, and the chart appears once a few days have accumulated.

BBT at a glance

FINANCIAL STRENGTH · BANKPROFITABILITY49VALUE89COVERED INCOME8770.3/100 on our peer scale — not the quality-growth score.
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+15%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$27.2LOW $22.8HIGH $32.8Trading at the 44th percentile of its 52-week range ($22.8–$32.8).

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-0.0%
90-day change-2.8%
Forward EPS estimate$3.32

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect BBT to earn is drifting lower (-2.8%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
73
Position size
$1,985
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$20.39
25% below $27.19
$ at risk if stopped
$496.22
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Latest BBT developments

Financial press headlines, updated daily.

The Bull Rankings deep dive

Analysis as of · figures are as written that day and are not updated. Today's numbers are in the cards above.

Written by the Bull Rankings model from fundamentals as of , and checked against those figures. How we source & verify every figure →

The thesis

PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$31.5$22.8 LOWHIGH $32.8Trading near its 52-week high ($22.8–$32.8).

Beacon Financial is a growth machine wrapped in a regional bank’s balance sheet. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026 it printed 55.5% revenue growth year-over-year, yet the market still prices the stock at only 10.2 times trailing earnings. That gap—double-digit growth on single-digit multiples—is the cleanest signal the market offers today. The PEG ratio sits at 2.6, which is high by absolute standards but low relative to the 55.5% revenue surge; the market is implicitly betting that the growth will fade fast. The counterargument is that the bank’s 21% profit margin and 8.4% return on equity are the real story, and those returns are what justify the multiple before the growth slows.

What the business actually is

DIVIDEND & PAYOUTYIELD4.1%PAYOUT42%A 4.1% yield at a 42% payout — comfortably covered.

Beacon sells a full stack of banking services to three broad customer groups: commercial and municipal borrowers, retail depositors, and high-net-worth individuals. On the asset side, it originates commercial and residential mortgages, commercial loans and leases, and SBA loans; it also holds a securities portfolio and runs a specialty equipment financing book. On the liability side, it gathers commercial, municipal, and retail deposits, then layers on cash management, trust, and investment advisory for fee income. The fastest-growing piece is the wealth management platform, which serves individuals, families, endowments, and foundations and is the most visible lever for cross-selling into the deposit base. The model is classic relationship banking: cheap deposits fund higher-yielding assets, and the fee-based services add scale without balance-sheet risk.

Why it can (or can't) keep compounding

ANALYST PRICE TARGETS$34.8$31.5TODAY$33 LOWHIGH $386 analysts average $34.8, 10% above today's $31.5. A target isan opinion, not a valuation - our DCF is the independent read.

The durability story hinges on two numbers: 21% profit margin and 8.4% ROE. The margin is healthy; the ROE is modest. The moat is the branch network plus the wealth management franchise, which is sticky by design and hard to replicate without years of trust-building. Deposits are the oxygen, and Beacon’s commercial and municipal relationships give it access to low-cost funding that competitors can’t easily match. The risk is that the commercial real estate book sours or that the SBA portfolio turns, but so far the credit metrics haven’t leaked into the income statement. The signal is the revenue growth itself: 55.5% year-over-year is not noise; it’s a real acceleration that suggests the bank is gaining share across multiple product lines at once.

The valuation question

The stock trades at 10.2 times trailing earnings, which is cheap for a 55.5% grower unless the market believes the growth is unsustainable. The PEG ratio of 2.6 implies the market expects only low-single-digit annual earnings growth—far below the recent 55.5% clip. In other words, the price already assumes a sharp deceleration. The math is simple: if the bank can’t sustain even modest growth, the low multiple is deserved; if it can, the stock is a bargain. The fair-value debate turns on whether the 21% margin and 8.4% ROE are sustainable at lower growth rates. The market’s answer today is no, but the numbers say otherwise.

The bear case

The strongest skeptic’s argument is the revenue growth itself. A 55.5% jump in a single year is the kind of number that invites mean-reversion. If the growth slows to the low double digits, the P/E of 10.2 starts to look full, especially with an ROE of only 8.4%. The concrete signal to watch is the next quarterly revenue print: if the year-over-year growth drops below 20%, the bull thesis collapses. Until then, the growth is real, and the skeptic is just betting on regression to the mean.

What would change our mind

Three falsifiable conditions would flip the thesis. First, if the profit margin slips below 20%, the cost discipline that supports the ROE is broken. Second, if the annual revenue growth falls below 20%, the growth engine stalls. Third, if the ROE drifts below 7%, the capital efficiency story weakens. Any of these would force a reassessment of the multiple. Until then, the numbers are what they are: a fast-growing bank trading at a low multiple.

Beacon Financial Corporation (BBT): score, valuation & FAQ

Beacon Financial Corporation (BBT) is a Banks - Regional company. As a bank, insurer or REIT it runs on a different financial model from the rest of the market, so Bull Rankings grades it on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and cash-flow coverage — rather than the 0–100 quality-growth score used elsewhere. The read below is a transparent screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), P/E (A) and P/B (A-).

Is BBT a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings grades BBT on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout and cash-flow coverage — rather than a single quality-growth score. That is driven by Rev (A), P/E (A) and P/B (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Beacon Financial Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

How does Bull Rankings grade BBT?

As a bank, insurer or REIT, BBT isn't given a quality-growth score — signals like free cash flow, debt-to-equity and P/E don't translate cleanly to a balance-sheet business. Instead it's graded on a sector-appropriate card: price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and operating-cash-flow coverage, where it rates strongest on Rev (A), P/E (A) and P/B (A-).

Is BBT overvalued or undervalued?

We don't publish a discounted-cash-flow value for BBT, and not because the business is unprofitable. For a lender, insurer or property trust, "free cash flow" measures balance-sheet growth rather than owner earnings — loan originations and repayments run through operating cash flow — so discounting it would produce a confident-looking number with nothing behind it. BBT is judged on book value, return on equity and income cover instead, which is what the financial-strength card shows.

What are the main risks of investing in BBT?

If the SBA pipeline stalls or equipment‑finance demand cools, revenue growth could tumble from the current 55.5% pace, pressuring the thin 21% margin and exposing earnings volatility despite the low PE. A sustained slowdown would be signaled by earnings miss and the stock sliding back toward its 52‑week low of $22.81, eroding the upside thesis.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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