Bull Rankings model

Agree Realty Corporation (ADC) stock analysis

REIT - Retail. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
ADC
Agree Realty Corporation · REIT - Retail
73.7REIT strength
$65.70Oct 14, 1:08 PM ET$8.2B
1Y Target$82.89Analyst consensus · 18 analysts
5Y Target$121.36Compound horizon
10Y Target$180.03Long-dated conviction
Yield4.9%
B+
Yield 4.9% — healthy income · REITs are valued on FFO / AFFO, which our data source doesn't provide — we grade income, growth, and sector-relative leverage instead.
Rev+16.4%
B+
Revenue +16.4% — above sector median, healthy trajectory
D/E0.59
A-
D/E 0.59 — less debt than most Real Estate peers (≈25th pctile)

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Financial strength · 73.7 / 100
Profitability44.7
Value (P/B)78.8
Income88.6

A peer-relative read for reits on profitability (ROE, depreciation-adjusted), valuation, and covered income — the quality-growth (FCF/ROIC) screen doesn't apply to balance-sheet businesses. Not comparable to the 0–100 quality-growth score shown on other stocks.

Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
20% off the 12-month high

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
REIT - Retail · market cap $8.2b. 20% off the 52-week high of $82.08. Revenue growing +16%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.13 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 18 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $82.89 (implying +26% upside).
Moat
Net margin 29% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close.
Risk
Dividend payout 169% of earnings on a 4.9% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut. P/S 10.5x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard. ROE 4% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $82.89 (18-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $121.36 at ~13% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $180.03 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.

Not enough history yet — the model records ADC's score after each daily run, and the chart appears once a few days have accumulated.

ADC at a glance

FINANCIAL STRENGTH · REITPROFITABILITY45VALUE79COVERED INCOME8973.7/100 on our peer scale — not the quality-growth score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$65.7LOW $64.4HIGH $82.1Trading near its 52-week low ($64.4–$82.1).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock-9%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-1.0%
90-day change-0.9%
Forward EPS estimate$1.91

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect ADC to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
30
Position size
$1,971
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$49.28
25% below $65.70
$ at risk if stopped
$492.79
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Agree Realty Corporation (ADC): score, valuation & FAQ

Agree Realty Corporation (ADC) is a REIT - Retail company. As a bank, insurer or REIT it runs on a different financial model from the rest of the market, so Bull Rankings grades it on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and cash-flow coverage — rather than the 0–100 quality-growth score used elsewhere. The read below is a transparent screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A-), Yield (B+) and Rev (B+).

Is ADC a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings grades ADC on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout and cash-flow coverage — rather than a single quality-growth score. That is driven by D/E (A-), Yield (B+) and Rev (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Agree Realty Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

How does Bull Rankings grade ADC?

As a bank, insurer or REIT, ADC isn't given a quality-growth score — signals like free cash flow, debt-to-equity and P/E don't translate cleanly to a balance-sheet business. Instead it's graded on a sector-appropriate card: price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and operating-cash-flow coverage, where it rates strongest on D/E (A-), Yield (B+) and Rev (B+).

Is ADC overvalued or undervalued?

We don't publish a discounted-cash-flow value for ADC, and not because the business is unprofitable. For a lender, insurer or property trust, "free cash flow" measures balance-sheet growth rather than owner earnings — loan originations and repayments run through operating cash flow — so discounting it would produce a confident-looking number with nothing behind it. ADC is judged on book value, return on equity and income cover instead, which is what the financial-strength card shows.

What are the main risks of investing in ADC?

Dividend payout 169% of earnings on a 4.9% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut. P/S 10.5x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard. ROE 4% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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